Crisis Management for a Conflict with North Korea

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美機密文件爆「無力保台」 國民黨拋3大質疑:請總統到國會報告

US classified documents reveal inability to defend Taiwan; KMT raises three major questions, urges president to report to parliament

The China Post | Local Language | News | Dec. 12, 2025 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

A classified U.S. Department of Defense document, the "Overmatch Brief," reveals that two decades ago, the U.S. could guarantee Taiwan's defense in the Pacific, but this capability has diminished. The People's Liberation Army (PLA) now has sufficient missile stockpiles to potentially destroy advanced U.S. weapons before they reach Taiwan, and even the U.S.S. Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier would face significant threats from PLA supersonic missiles. This shift indicates a severe deterioration in Taiwan's security environment.

In response, KMT caucus chief deputy secretary-general Lin Peixiang raised three major concerns and urged President Lai Ching-te to report to the legislature. First, he questioned the certainty of U.S. military assistance for Taiwan, pointing out that if the U.S. cannot break through PLA defenses, promises of joint defense appear unreliable. Second, he challenged the effectiveness of Taiwan’s NT$1.25 trillion arms budget, asking what exactly is being purchased and whether these weapons can be effectively deployed or survive in a conflict. Third, Lin criticized the current government's approach to cross-strait relations, condemning its refusal to maintain communication with China and advocating for pragmatic strategies to reduce the risk of war, including restoring communication channels.

Lin also emphasized the need for Taiwan to be self-reliant by strengthening its own defense capabilities. He proposed that advanced U.S. weapons should not only be sold but also manufactured and maintained within Taiwan, allowing the technology to take root on the island. This approach aims to avoid situations where Taiwan invests heavily in arms that may not be deliverable or operational, calling for greater military-industrial cooperation with the U.S. based in Taiwan.

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