Vietnam

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Severe Weather System Triggers Flood and Storm Warnings in Khánh Hòa Province
Dec. 11, 2025 | Environment

A complex weather system is poised to bring heavy rainfall and stormy conditions to Khánh Hòa Province and surrounding coastal waters.

**Forecasters predict that from the night of December 9 until the morning of December 11, Khánh Hòa Province will receive 50–120 mm of moderate to heavy rainfall, with localized amounts exceeding 150 mm and three-hour rainfall rates surpassing 80 mm.**
Rainfall should taper off beginning December 11.

**These rains will likely trigger floods on local rivers at warning levels 1–2; the Cái Nha Trang River is nearing level 2.**
Low-lying areas may experience localized flooding, while steep and geologically vulnerable terrain faces heightened landslide risk. Wind- or tornado-related damage—such as roof loss and fallen trees—remains a concern.

**The Provincial People’s Committee has ordered authorities to continuously monitor weather developments, alert residents and local bodies promptly, and assess at-risk residential zones.**
Officials have urged residents to elevate valuable assets, prepare for possible evacuations, and follow relocation guidance. The Provincial Military Command and Police must keep vehicles and equipment on standby for rescue operations.

**The Department of Industry and Trade must maintain stable electricity supplies and protect key infrastructure, while telecommunications providers must safeguard their networks against storm impacts.**
Reservoir management units are regulating storage capacity to ease downstream flooding and conducting round-the-clock monitoring of water levels and rainfall.

**In mid-November, Khánh Hòa endured historic rains and floods that claimed 22 lives, damaged or collapsed over 1,000 houses, killed thousands of livestock, and caused extensive damage to roads and crops.**
Total losses exceeded 5,000 billion VND. To support recovery and rebuilding, the Bùi Toàn Hope Fund and VnExpress launched the “Cùng đồng bào vượt lũ” fundraising campaign.

**As of 1 PM on December 9, a low-pressure system centered near 8–9° N, 114–115° E is moving west-southwest at about 20 km/h.**
Combined with a cold surge, it is generating level 5 winds with gusts up to level 7 in the southern East Sea and level 6–7 northeasterly winds in the western southern East Sea, along the coast from Khánh Hòa to Cà Mau, and in the northern East Sea—including the Hoàng Sa archipelago. Wave heights of 2–4 m, scattered thunderstorms, and strong gusts are causing severe maritime disturbances, prompting advisories for vessels to take safety precautions.
Fatal Expressway Collision Highlights Gaps in Enforcement and Rest-Stop Infrastructure
Dec. 11, 2025 | Infrastructure & Urbanization

Traffic police enforcement on expressways plays a critical role in ensuring road safety and reducing incidents.

**On December 9 at approximately 4:12 a.m., a passenger bus (license plate 29B-081.xx) collided with a tractor-trailer combination (tractor plate 15C-360.xx; semi-trailer plate 15R-149.xx) at kilometer 71+200 on the Da Nang–Quang Ngai expressway near Bich Ngo hamlet in Da Nang city.**
The front of the bus suffered extensive damage, and 13 occupants were affected—four killed and nine injured.

**Investigators found that the bus driver, Mr.**
P.V.K., had driven continuously for five hours without taking the legally required rest breaks, exceeding permitted driving time limits. Neither he nor any passenger was wearing a seat belt; two rear-seat passengers were killed on impact after being thrown forward, and a third succumbed to multiple traumatic injuries later in hospital.

**After the crash, authorities administered a urine test to the tractor-trailer driver, Mr.**
B.M.T., which returned positive for drug use. They have preserved evidence and continue to probe contributing factors, including vehicle conditions, driver behavior, and the road environment.

**The Da Nang–Quang Ngai expressway spans 131.5 kilometers and currently lacks rest-stop facilities, although plans call for six stops (three in each direction).**
According to design standards, rest areas should appear every 50 to 60 kilometers and provide fuel, repairs, parking, lodging, toilets, and food. Traffic police report that the absence of these facilities hampers enforcement of driving-time regulations and limits opportunities for drivers to take mandatory breaks. Continuous monitoring and infrastructure development are underway to address these shortcomings.

Monitored Intelligence for Vietnam - Dec. 12, 2025


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Xuất khẩu gạo: Tìm dư địa tăng trưởng từ các FTA và thị trường mới

Rice Export: Seeking Growth Opportunities from FTAs and New Markets

Bao Dien Tu | Local Language | News | Dec. 12, 2025 | UndeterminedTrade Issues and Numbers

Vietnam's rice export sector in 2025 faces significant challenges including political instability in some regions, high inflation, and slow global trade recovery. Tight monetary policies in major economies have led to financial market disruptions and weakened consumer demand in developing countries. Protectionist measures and stricter standards on safety, sustainability, and climate change for imports have further complicated the export environment. Despite these difficulties, the Ministry of Industry and Trade has coordinated with relevant agencies to implement timely policies and support the rice sector's production and exports.

In the first 11 months of 2025, Vietnam exported over 7.53 million tons of rice valued at more than 3.85 billion USD, but this represents a 10.9% decrease in volume and a 27.4% drop in value compared to 2024. Some key markets such as Indonesia and Malaysia saw sharp declines, while increased exports to Ghana, China, Bangladesh, and Senegal helped offset losses. The majority of exports consisted of high-quality white rice and fragrant rice, which accounted for 69% of the total volume by October 2025.

Rice production in 2026 is forecasted to reach approximately 43 million tons, with a slight reduction in planting area due to seasonal declines. Local authorities are urged to restore production after natural disasters and focus on sustainable, low-emission rice cultivation, especially in the Mekong Delta, where a project aims to develop 1 million hectares of specialized rice by 2030. The resumption of rice imports by the Philippines, recovery in key markets such as China and Bangladesh, and benefits from trade agreements are expected to support the sector in 2026. Improved rice quality is seen as a competitive advantage.

Stakeholders emphasize the need to classify rice as a special commodity to better manage domestic consumption, food security, and export demands. This includes building stable supply regions with traceability, quality control, and brand development to meet the standards of importers. Vietnamese rice enterprises have yet to fully capitalize on free trade agreements, prompting calls for a clear strategic approach, stronger branding, and enhanced cooperation between state agencies, associations, and businesses to exploit these market opportunities.

IMF dự báo Trung Quốc tăng trưởng 5% năm nay

IMF predicts China’s growth at 5% this year

VN Express | Local Language | News | Dec. 12, 2025 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2025 from 4.8% to 5%. For 2026, the IMF expects China’s growth to reach 4.5%, up from the previous forecast of 4.2%. The IMF highlighted China’s economic resilience despite various shocks in recent years but noted ongoing challenges such as a weakening property sector, high local government debt, and weak domestic demand.

The IMF emphasized the need for China to accelerate structural reforms and transition its economy from reliance on exports and investment toward a consumption-driven growth model. Although China recorded a trade surplus exceeding $1 trillion in the first 11 months of 2025, the IMF cautioned that dependence on exports is unsustainable amid rising global trade tensions.

Recommendations from the IMF include adopting more accommodative macroeconomic policies while reforming to reduce household saving rates, curbing inefficient investments, and eliminating unnecessary industrial support. They also called for strengthening the social safety net and supporting the adjustment process in the property sector. Beijing closely monitors IMF assessments, viewing them as important validation amid ongoing trade disputes.

Siết khí thải phương tiện tại TPHCM, tài xế đăng kiểm xe thế nào?

Tightening vehicle emissions in Ho Chi Minh City, how do drivers register their vehicles?

Dantri | Local Language | News | Dec. 12, 2025 | Regulation

Ho Chi Minh City is enhancing vehicle emissions inspections in line with Government Decision 43/2025, which outlines a roadmap for applying national technical regulations on vehicle emissions. Vehicle inspection centers are required to upgrade their infrastructure and equipment to meet these standards. The Vietnam Register emphasized the importance of creating a comprehensive database of emissions results to enable local authorities to monitor vehicles entering and leaving low-emission zones (LEZs) using smart camera technology.

Decision 43/2025 categorizes vehicle emissions standards by the vehicle's year of manufacture, setting requirements from Level 1 to Level 5, corresponding to Euro 1 through Euro 5 standards. Vehicles operating in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi face stricter emissions levels, with vehicles manufactured between 2017 and 2021 required to meet at least Level 4 (Euro 4) by January 1, 2027. Emissions inspections will no longer be simply pass or fail; inspection certificates and stickers will display the specific emissions level a vehicle meets, which will determine its access to certain zones depending on local regulations.

The Vietnam Register will ensure emissions data is integrated into national and police databases, facilitating real-time enforcement through smart cameras at LEZs. For example, if a vehicle’s emissions level does not meet the LEZ requirement, it can be flagged for warnings or fines based on license plate recognition.

Inspection centers such as Center 50-02S report their equipment already meets Decision 43/2025 requirements and foreign standards, capable of providing accurate emissions level results. They noted that only very old or poorly maintained vehicles typically fail inspections, and many well-maintained vehicles made before 2016 still pass emissions tests. Conversely, Center 50-07V is in the process of reassessing whether their equipment can accurately measure specific emissions levels and awaits further guidance from the Vietnam Register before considering upgrades.

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