Vietnam

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Severe Weather System Triggers Flood and Storm Warnings in Khánh Hòa Province
Dec. 11, 2025 | Environment

A complex weather system is poised to bring heavy rainfall and stormy conditions to Khánh Hòa Province and surrounding coastal waters.

**Forecasters predict that from the night of December 9 until the morning of December 11, Khánh Hòa Province will receive 50–120 mm of moderate to heavy rainfall, with localized amounts exceeding 150 mm and three-hour rainfall rates surpassing 80 mm.**
Rainfall should taper off beginning December 11.

**These rains will likely trigger floods on local rivers at warning levels 1–2; the Cái Nha Trang River is nearing level 2.**
Low-lying areas may experience localized flooding, while steep and geologically vulnerable terrain faces heightened landslide risk. Wind- or tornado-related damage—such as roof loss and fallen trees—remains a concern.

**The Provincial People’s Committee has ordered authorities to continuously monitor weather developments, alert residents and local bodies promptly, and assess at-risk residential zones.**
Officials have urged residents to elevate valuable assets, prepare for possible evacuations, and follow relocation guidance. The Provincial Military Command and Police must keep vehicles and equipment on standby for rescue operations.

**The Department of Industry and Trade must maintain stable electricity supplies and protect key infrastructure, while telecommunications providers must safeguard their networks against storm impacts.**
Reservoir management units are regulating storage capacity to ease downstream flooding and conducting round-the-clock monitoring of water levels and rainfall.

**In mid-November, Khánh Hòa endured historic rains and floods that claimed 22 lives, damaged or collapsed over 1,000 houses, killed thousands of livestock, and caused extensive damage to roads and crops.**
Total losses exceeded 5,000 billion VND. To support recovery and rebuilding, the Bùi Toàn Hope Fund and VnExpress launched the “Cùng đồng bào vượt lũ” fundraising campaign.

**As of 1 PM on December 9, a low-pressure system centered near 8–9° N, 114–115° E is moving west-southwest at about 20 km/h.**
Combined with a cold surge, it is generating level 5 winds with gusts up to level 7 in the southern East Sea and level 6–7 northeasterly winds in the western southern East Sea, along the coast from Khánh Hòa to Cà Mau, and in the northern East Sea—including the Hoàng Sa archipelago. Wave heights of 2–4 m, scattered thunderstorms, and strong gusts are causing severe maritime disturbances, prompting advisories for vessels to take safety precautions.
Fatal Expressway Collision Highlights Gaps in Enforcement and Rest-Stop Infrastructure
Dec. 11, 2025 | Infrastructure & Urbanization

Traffic police enforcement on expressways plays a critical role in ensuring road safety and reducing incidents.

**On December 9 at approximately 4:12 a.m., a passenger bus (license plate 29B-081.xx) collided with a tractor-trailer combination (tractor plate 15C-360.xx; semi-trailer plate 15R-149.xx) at kilometer 71+200 on the Da Nang–Quang Ngai expressway near Bich Ngo hamlet in Da Nang city.**
The front of the bus suffered extensive damage, and 13 occupants were affected—four killed and nine injured.

**Investigators found that the bus driver, Mr.**
P.V.K., had driven continuously for five hours without taking the legally required rest breaks, exceeding permitted driving time limits. Neither he nor any passenger was wearing a seat belt; two rear-seat passengers were killed on impact after being thrown forward, and a third succumbed to multiple traumatic injuries later in hospital.

**After the crash, authorities administered a urine test to the tractor-trailer driver, Mr.**
B.M.T., which returned positive for drug use. They have preserved evidence and continue to probe contributing factors, including vehicle conditions, driver behavior, and the road environment.

**The Da Nang–Quang Ngai expressway spans 131.5 kilometers and currently lacks rest-stop facilities, although plans call for six stops (three in each direction).**
According to design standards, rest areas should appear every 50 to 60 kilometers and provide fuel, repairs, parking, lodging, toilets, and food. Traffic police report that the absence of these facilities hampers enforcement of driving-time regulations and limits opportunities for drivers to take mandatory breaks. Continuous monitoring and infrastructure development are underway to address these shortcomings.

Monitored Intelligence for Vietnam - Dec. 12, 2025


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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

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Deposit insurance pays out early, no need to wait for the bank to go bankrupt

VN Express | Local Language | News | Dec. 12, 2025 | UndeterminedBankruptcy-Insolvency

On December 10, the National Assembly passed an amended Deposit Insurance Law with over 94% approval. Effective from May 1, 2026, the law introduces three cases for deposit insurance payouts: when the State Bank approves a bankruptcy plan for a credit institution or foreign bank unable to pay deposits; when the State Bank suspends deposit-taking activities of a credit institution under special control that has losses exceeding 100% of its charter capital; and when the regulator requires payment to ensure system safety, public order, and social safety. These additions aim to enable timely payouts and stabilize depositor confidence.

The Governor of the State Bank, Nguyen Thi Hong, was assigned to set the maximum payout limit periodically. Currently, the limit is 125 million VND, although some delegates had proposed increasing it. The amended law also expands the role of the deposit insurance organization to include handling credit institutions under early intervention and special control, managing crises, and evaluating recovery and restructuring plans. The organization can provide zero-interest special loans to insured banks and is permitted to borrow unsecured funds at zero percent interest from the State Bank to make early payouts and cover shortfalls in the operational reserve fund.

Nhiều ngân hàng nâng lãi suất kỳ hạn ngắn lên kịch trần

Many Banks Raise Short-term Interest Rates to the Ceiling

VN Express | Local Language | News | Dec. 12, 2025 | UndeterminedFinancial System Problems

In early December 2025, multiple banks raised their short-term savings interest rates to the maximum ceiling of 4.75% per year, as set by the State Bank, to attract deposits. Phuong Dong Bank (OCB) adjusted rates by 0.4% to 0.9%, offering 4.75% for deposits between 2 to 5 months with amounts of 500 million dong or more, and higher rates for longer terms. Sacombank increased rates by 0.3% to 0.5%, with 3 to under 6-month deposits reaching the 4.75% ceiling and 12-month deposits at 5.8%. Other banks such as Viet Capital Bank, National Citizen Bank (NCB), VIB, NamABank, MBV, and CIMB also implemented similar rate hikes for short-term deposits.

Year-end promotional campaigns offering additional interest, cash bonuses, and gifts have intensified competition among banks to attract deposits amid a peak lending season and rapid credit growth. According to Vietnam Prosperity Bank (VPBank), credit expansion is outpacing deposit growth, creating pressure on liquidity and interest rates. By November 2025, credit growth exceeded the 16% target, with nearly 70% directed to the services sector. VIS Rating identified heightened liquidity risk for smaller banks reliant on short-term market funds, as the sector’s loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) reached a five-year high of 111%, indicating ongoing liquidity pressures.

As saving interest rates rise, lending rates have also gradually increased by 0.5% to 1% compared to the previous month. Large banks have ceased subsidized low-cost housing loans, and some private banks are experiencing upward movement in floating loan interest rates. This reflects the broader tightening of credit conditions in response to the accelerated credit growth and liquidity challenges in the banking sector.

New law permits public employees to manage or invest in businesses

Vietnam Net - E | English | News | Dec. 12, 2025 | Regulation

On December 10, the National Assembly passed an amended Law on Public Employees, which will take effect on July 1, 2026. The revised law emphasizes job positions as the primary basis for recruitment, assignment, evaluation, training, promotion, and policymaking for public employees. A job position is defined according to the duties and functions of public service units.

The law introduces stringent rules governing public employees' participation in activities outside their primary institutions. Public employees are now permitted to sign labor or service contracts with other organizations, invest in, manage, or operate enterprises and institutions, and practice their professions independently, provided such actions comply with sector-specific laws and anti-corruption regulations. Approval from immediate superiors or managing authorities is required when terms are not specified in employment contracts.

Additional provisions allow public employees in science, technology, and education sectors expanded rights under relevant legal frameworks. The law also establishes a comprehensive evaluation system for public employees, using job performance, public attitude, innovation, accountability, and public interest as criteria. Digital tools will aid in transparent and open assessments, resulting in performance categories that influence training, promotions, salary adjustments, commendations, or dismissal.

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