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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
Europe’s Crossroads: From Transatlantic Vassal to Eurasian Anchor – A Call for Humble Boldness
China-US Focus | English | AcademicThink | Jan. 23, 2026 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes
In January 2026, Europe faces a critical choice between remaining a subordinate partner in a declining transatlantic alliance or becoming a key player in an integrated Eurasian economic bloc. The ongoing Ukraine conflict has turned unfavorably for Western ambitions, with Russian advances and widespread support among Ukrainians and Russians for peace negotiations signaling a shift toward diplomatic resolution. The United States is retreating from its commitment to Europe, focusing on Asia and demanding European countries take full responsibility for NATO's defense, while reducing support to Ukraine. Meanwhile, Europe remains heavily dependent on costly U.S. LNG imports, undermining its industrial competitiveness and geopolitical independence.
Europe’s energy situation is framed as an urgent sovereignty challenge. The phase-out of Russian gas has left Europe reliant on expensive U.S. LNG, inflating industrial costs and risking deindustrialization. Although energy efficiency programs have reduced demand, Europe continues to face potential shortfalls in cold winters. Diversification of LNG imports from Qatar, Algeria, Norway, and others may offer a temporary reprieve, but true energy independence requires rapid electrification, expansion of renewables, and demand-side management. China’s dominance in clean energy technologies presents a pragmatic partnership opportunity, offering both supply of key components and potential investments in European manufacturing, provided Europe eases tariffs and balances protectionism with realistic supply needs.
Geopolitically, Europe is urged to overcome Russophobia and Sinophobia to assert genuine autonomy. Leading European politicians are advocating normalized relations with Russia and the establishment of a new pan-European security architecture, replacing NATO as US troop withdrawals signal diminishing American engagement in European defense. This includes direct peace negotiations with Russia acknowledging past provocations by NATO expansion. Simultaneously, stronger ties with China through cooperation on nuclear, renewable technology, and green hydrogen are seen as essential for energy security and economic revitalization. The recent EU-Mercosur trade deal enhances food security and trade diversification, reducing dependence on traditional partners.
Social and political pressures across Europe indicate a growing demand for bold leadership to break from outdated transatlantic loyalty. Rising populism, protests over energy costs, and war fatigue signal potential for a historical rupture in Europe’s trajectory if Brussels fails to act decisively. The proposed strategy emphasizes accelerating electrification with Chinese technology, LNG diversification for transition, pragmatic engagement with Russia, dismantling NATO in favor of a new security framework, and ensuring energy and food sovereignty. Europe’s future depends on embracing this courageous pivot to establish itself as the western anchor of a flourishing Eurasian economy rather than fading into geopolitical irrelevance.
All missing found dead in China steel plant blast, death toll rises to 10
Xinhua | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | Accidents
Eight individuals who were previously missing after a steel plant explosion in Inner Mongolia have been confirmed dead, increasing the total death toll to 10. The victims were found without vital signs following extensive search and rescue efforts at Baogang United Steel's plate plant in Baotou City.
The explosion occurred on January 18 and involved a 650-cubic-meter saturated water and steam spherical tank. In addition to the fatalities, 84 people were injured, all of whom remain in stable condition. Over 1,000 personnel from various government departments participated in the rescue operation.
Authorities have initiated a city-wide inspection to identify hidden workplace safety risks. Public security officials have taken legal actions against those responsible within the company. An ongoing thorough investigation is examining the cause of the accident.
时政微观察丨为人民出政绩 以实干出政绩
Current Affairs Micro-Observation | Achieving Political Success for the People Through Practical Work
China Daily | Local Language | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedPolitics and Elections
On January 20, 2026, General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasized the need to deepen the study and implementation of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, aiming to unify thinking and concentrate efforts to ensure a successful start to China’s 15th Five-Year Plan. This plan prioritizes economic development-centered, high-quality growth amid a complex environment of risks and opportunities. Xi stressed the importance of leadership at all levels improving political judgment and execution, noting the Party Central Committee’s unified leadership is essential for steady and successful economic progress.
The seminar for provincial- and ministerial-level leading cadres underscored adhering to the Party’s major strategies, policies, and economic tasks outlined in the 2025 Central Economic Work Conference. Initial 2026 measures include national subsidies, green consumption promotion, and expanded government financing guarantees to stimulate market vitality and support business entities. Xi highlighted the need for localities to pursue sustainable development tailored to their unique resources and conditions, advocating against one-size-fits-all approaches by encouraging efforts aligned with comparative advantages and local realities.
Xi called for a correct view of performance focused on tangible achievements that benefit the people, emphasizing that success is measured by public satisfaction and improvements in livelihoods. The Party prioritizes practical work that addresses the urgent needs of the population, from ecological protection along the Yangtze River to child-raising subsidies and major infrastructure projects aimed at enhancing public services and living environments. Local and central plans must align strategically while remaining adaptable to local circumstances to ensure effective implementation.
In the inaugural year of the 15th Five-Year Plan, authorities are tasked with anchoring targets in concrete actions, with solid results serving to establish momentum for the broader goals of building Chinese-style modernization. The leadership underscores that practical work and execution are paramount for political success and the continued prosperity of the people.
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