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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
AMRO Lifts 2026 Growth Forecast for ASEAN+3, Citing Tech and Export Strength
Yicai Global | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth
The ASEAN+3 region, comprising the 10 ASEAN members along with China, Japan, and South Korea, is projected to experience stronger economic growth in 2026 than previously forecasted. The ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) updated its outlook, predicting a 4 percent expansion in 2026 following 4.3 percent growth in 2025, marking a 0.2 percentage point upward revision for both years. China’s growth forecast was similarly raised to 4.6 percent in 2026 from the earlier estimate, supported by macroeconomic policies, resilient exports, and investment in high-tech manufacturing.
The region’s economic resilience is attributed to strong technology demand and robust foreign direct investment inflows into sectors such as advanced electronics, electric vehicles, and digital services. Semiconductor exports in the region grew by 21.7 percent in the second half of 2025, driven by demand related to artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure. The global purchasing managers’ index for electronics new orders showed improvement in December 2025, indicating continued export growth. Regional equity markets have also gained since October 2025, boosted by momentum in artificial intelligence despite concerns about US tariff policies.
Despite more balanced risks overall, AMRO identified ongoing uncertainties and downside risks, particularly linked to unpredictable US trade policies and potential expansions of protectionist measures. A significant slowdown in technology demand, possibly caused by market corrections or delays in AI adoption, could adversely affect regional exports, given the sector's cross-border ties. AMRO emphasized the importance of policy readiness to manage shocks in the short term, while encouraging diversification of growth drivers and deeper regional economic integration to enhance long-term resilience.
Over 1,900 houses damaged, 300 residents relocated after 5.1-magnitude quake hits China's Yunnan
Xinhua | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | Natural Disasters
A 5.1-magnitude earthquake struck Qiaojia County in Yunnan Province, China, on Monday evening at 7:32 p.m., occurring at a depth of 10 kilometers. The quake damaged over 1,900 residential houses and eight school buildings, mostly causing minor cracks. No casualties or building collapses were reported.
The earthquake also caused significant infrastructure damage, including 466 slope collapses and rockfalls on roads, 483 road surface damages, and 19 mountain fissures that do not threaten residential safety or public transportation. Additionally, 544 water conservancy facilities, 270 production water cellars or pools, and 178 water supply pipeline locations were damaged.
Local authorities have relocated and accommodated 334 residents from 147 households, ensuring their basic needs such as food, water, heating, and shelter. Post-disaster recovery and reconstruction efforts are planned as the next step. The China Earthquake Administration activated a Level-III emergency response and sent teams to assist with relief efforts.
事关个人所得税!财政部、税务总局、证监会等三部门发布
Concerning Personal Income Tax! Ministry of Finance, State Taxation Administration, and CSRC Jointly Issue Announcement
STCN | Local Language | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | Regulation
On January 21, 2026, the Ministry of Finance, State Taxation Administration, and China Securities Regulatory Commission jointly announced the continuation of tax policies for the pilot domestic issuance of depositary receipts (CDRs) by innovative enterprises. From January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027, individual investors will be temporarily exempt from personal income tax on price-differential gains from transferring CDRs of innovative enterprises.
During the same period, a differentiated personal income tax policy will apply to dividend income received by individual investors holding CDRs. Tax withholding and payment responsibilities fall on the domestic depositary institution, which must also file detailed reports with the tax authorities. Foreign tax credits may be granted for dividends already taxed abroad, according to relevant laws and bilateral tax treaties.
For corporate investors, price-differential gains and dividend income related to CDRs of innovative enterprises will follow existing enterprise income tax policies for share transfers and dividends. Public securities investment funds are temporarily exempt from enterprise income tax on these gains and dividends. Qualified foreign institutional investors (QFII) and renminbi qualified foreign institutional investors (RQFII) will treat such gains and dividends as income related to the transfer or holding of the underlying shares of the CDRs for enterprise income tax purposes.
The announcement defines "CDR of innovative enterprises" as securities issued domestically by a depositary based on overseas shares, meeting the pilot enterprise criteria set by the State Council and CSRC guidelines. These CDRs represent rights in the underlying overseas securities.
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