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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
| Domain | Causal Chain | Possible Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Competitiveness | (Regulatory-quality & red-tape index ↑ → Regulatory-approval lead time (days) ↑ → Average cost of capital (WACC) ↑ → Business fixed-investment growth deviation ↓) | Stricter regulation and elongated approval processes raise financing costs and curb business fixed-investment growth. |
| Technology & Innovation | (Baseline cybersecurity regulation ↑ → Data-localisation compliance cost ↑ → Cloud API average latency ↑ → Unicorn creation count ↓) | Elevated compliance costs and slower cloud services hamper startup scaling, reducing the emergence of unicorns. |
| Information Dynamics | (Data-privacy regulation robustness ↑ → Data-breach incidence (records exposed) ↓ → Cross-platform disinformation campaign count ↓ → Misinformation-belief prevalence ↓) | Stronger privacy rules reduce data breaches and disinformation, thereby lowering public susceptibility to misinformation. |
| Governance & Law | (Data-protection & privacy legislation ↑ → Government-content-takedown requests ↑ → Information-access inequality ↑ → Digital attention shift to fringe platforms ↑) | Increased takedown requests exacerbate information-access disparities and drive users toward fringe platforms. |
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
警惕ETF高溢价!多家公募基金提示风险
Beware of High ETF Premiums! Multiple Public Funds Warn of Risks
Sina Finance | Local Language | News | Nov. 24, 2025 | UndeterminedInvestor Sentiment
On November 21, multiple public fund companies including Invesco Great Wall, Huaan, Dacheng, Harvest, China Merchants, Cathay, and E Fund issued warnings about high premiums on cross-border ETFs that track overseas indices, particularly those linked to the Nasdaq, but also including some Nikkei, S&P 500, and U.S. 50 ETFs. These funds noted that the secondary-market trading prices of these ETFs are significantly above their net asset values, posing potential loss risks to investors. Some companies also announced measures such as temporary trading suspensions to mitigate these risks.
Data from November 21 indicated substantial premiums, with the Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology ETF trading at an 18.28% premium and the Fullgoal Nasdaq 100 ETF at 10.65%. Other Nasdaq ETFs under firms like Bosera, Harvest, Cathay, Hua Xia, and GF Fund also showed premiums exceeding 5%. ETFs linked to other overseas indices experienced relatively high premiums amid concurrent adjustments in domestic and global markets, especially as the Nasdaq and tech stocks faced corrections.
The high premiums are attributed to strong investor enthusiasm for U.S. stocks, particularly technology-focused indices like the Nasdaq, coupled with limited QDII quotas and restrictions on off-exchange subscriptions, which constrain arbitrage opportunities. This has led to overheated secondary-market demand and persistent premium inflation. Analysts warned that these premiums are fragile and could contract sharply if market sentiment shifts or overseas assets decline, causing rapid price falls and potential liquidity risks if trading suspensions are triggered.
Year-to-date performance shows that Nasdaq-related cross-border ETFs have delivered moderate gains of 10% to 20%, with the best performing reaching 31.8%, which is still below the gains of many Hong Kong-related ETFs that often exceed 30%. This disparity, combined with historically high valuations for Nasdaq stocks and ongoing market uncertainty, suggests risks remain elevated. Experts highlighted that domestic Chinese blue-chips might rebound before U.S. indices stabilize, forecasting continued volatility for these high-premium cross-border ETFs in the near term.
Chinese, Tajik FMs hold first strategic dialogue
Xinhua | English | News | Nov. 24, 2025 | Shifting Geopolitical Alliances
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Tajik Foreign Minister Sirojiddin Muhriddin held their first strategic dialogue in Dushanbe on November 22, 2025. Both sides agreed to advance the China-Tajikistan comprehensive strategic cooperative partnership by implementing consensus between their heads of state and deepening mutually beneficial cooperation. They established a strategic dialogue mechanism to facilitate ongoing coordination.
Wang emphasized the strong friendship and partnership guided by Chinese President Xi Jinping and Tajik President Emomali Rahmon, noting recent meetings between the two leaders and plans for bilateral relations development. China expressed readiness to support Tajikistan’s development path, safeguard its national security, and oppose external interference. Wang also reaffirmed China’s commitment to core interests including the Taiwan issue and opposed Japanese militarism’s resurgence.
The two countries discussed expanding trade, investment, and cultural exchanges through platforms like the China-Tajikistan intergovernmental economic and trade committee, Confucius Institutes, and Luban Workshops. China expressed willingness to increase imports of Tajik agricultural products and encourage Chinese enterprises to invest in Tajikistan. Local cooperation and sister-city exchanges were also encouraged to strengthen bilateral friendship.
Security cooperation was underscored as both nations share risks and challenges, with commitments to joint patrols, combating terrorism, and the Global Security Initiative. China supports Tajikistan's enhanced role in the UN and multilateral frameworks including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and China-Central Asia mechanism. Both ministers acknowledged their long-standing mutual trust and partnership, and exchanged views on cooperation related to the Afghan issue, aiming to promote regional peace and stability.
Following the talks, the two sides issued a joint statement affirming their commitment to deepen strategic cooperation across multiple sectors and maintain high-quality Belt and Road collaboration for mutual benefit.
“停手吧高市!” 超1700名日本民众现场抗议高市早苗错误言论
Stop it, Takashi! Over 1,700 Japanese citizens protest live against Sanae Takaichi's erroneous remarks
China Daily | Local Language | News | Nov. 24, 2025 | Protest, Demonstration, Dissent
On a cold November night in Tokyo, over 1,700 Japanese citizens gathered to protest against Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s recent remarks perceived as erroneous and provocative. The protesters, bearing banners and chanting slogans such as "Takaichi's the problem!" and "Rational citizens do not need war!", demanded that she retract statements including "a Taiwan contingency is a Japan contingency," which they viewed as a direct threat to Japan’s security and peace.
Speakers at the protest, including lawyers and Okinawan citizens, emphasized their shared goal of peace, strongly opposing any movement toward war. They criticized Takaichi for using alarmist language about threats to Japan's survival and for pushing policies that deviate from Japan’s postwar peace framework. This framework, established under U.S. guidance, includes the pacifist Article 9 of Japan’s Constitution, which renounces war. Recent government actions such as increased defense spending, reselling “Patriot” missiles to the U.S., and exporting lethal weapons have heightened public concern about Japan straying from its commitment to peace.
China responded sharply to Takaichi’s remarks. On November 21, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning condemned her comments as inflammatory and called for their immediate retraction. Mao stressed that Japan should honor its commitments under the four political documents with China and act to maintain a constructive relationship. She warned that any attempt to revive militarism or undermine the postwar international order would face rejection from China, the international community, and ultimately lead to failure.
The protests and international reactions highlight widespread opposition to any perceived erosion of Japan’s peace-oriented policies. Peace and stability remain critical to regional security, and attempts to undermine them face resistance at both the domestic and global levels.
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