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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
| Domain | Causal Chain | Possible Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Competitiveness | (NEV market share ↑ → Market-size & demand potential ↑ → Export sophistication (EXPY) delta ↑ → High-value-added export share ↑) | Rapid NEV adoption drives an upgrade in export mix, raising the share of high-value-added EV systems and integrated supply-chain solutions. |
| Energy & Natural Resources | (Battery production capacity ↑ → Grid-scale battery-storage fleet capacity ↑ → Renewable-generation share of electricity ↑ → CO₂-intensity of GDP change ↓) | Enhanced grid storage from expanded battery capacity boosts renewable electricity share and drives down the CO₂ intensity of GDP. |
| Competitiveness | (NEV exports ↑ → Trade-openness & preferential access ↑ → Real export market-share change ↑ → FDI net inflow (% GDP) ↑) | Surging NEV exports improve China’s trade openness and export market share, attracting increased FDI into auto and battery sectors. |
| Transportation & Logistics | (Customs-and-border clearance digitisation ↑ → Average customs-clearance time ↓ → Door-to-door export lead time ↓ → Logistics-performance index (LPI) score ↑) | Customs digitization cuts clearance and delivery times, strengthening export reliability and lifting China’s LPI score. |
| Firms | (Supply-chain restructuring cadence ↑ → Inventory days on hand ↓ → Capex-to-cashflow ratio ↑ → Private fixed-investment growth ↑) | Accelerated supply-chain restructuring lowers inventories and frees cash, fueling private fixed-investment growth in the NEV ecosystem. |
| Technology & Innovation | (Enterprise AI adoption index ↑ → AI inference cost index shift ↓ → Total-factor productivity growth from tech ↑ → Patent-to-product conversion rate ↑) | Wider enterprise AI adoption reduces inference costs, accelerating total-factor productivity gains and boosting patent-to-product conversion in NEV technologies. |
| Transportation & Logistics | (Nearshoring supply chains ↑ → Input-cost inflation (producer-price index) ↓ → Freight cost share of export value ↓ → Logistics carbon-neutral shipment share ↑) | Nearshoring supply chains dampens input-cost inflation and freight expenses while expanding the share of carbon-neutral logistics shipments. |
| Technology & Innovation | (5G standalone network coverage share ↑ → Cloud API average latency (ms) ↓ → SME digital-tool adoption index ↑ → Digital & knowledge-intensive industry share of GDP ↑) | Expanded 5G standalone coverage cuts cloud latency, spurring SME digital-tool uptake and expanding the digital and knowledge-intensive share of GDP. |
| Technology & Innovation | (Autonomous-vehicle regulatory readiness index ↑ → Regulatory-approval lead time (days) ↓ → Early-stage VC deal count ↑ → Unicorn creation count ↑) | Faster regulatory approval for autonomous vehicles unlocks more early-stage VC deals and increases the creation of unicorns in mobility innovation. |
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
Taiwan's DPP slammed for squandering money on external favor
Xinhua | English | News | Nov. 28, 2025 | Political Scandal or Corruption
A spokesperson from China's State Council Taiwan Affairs Office, Peng Qing’en, criticized Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) for allocating funds toward weapons purchases and courting external support instead of improving livelihoods and economic development. Peng warned that these actions would lead Taiwan toward disaster.
The remarks responded to Taiwan leader Lai Ching-te's plan to propose a special defense budget amounting to 40 billion U.S. dollars. Peng reiterated that China's reunification is inevitable and that attempts to seek independence through U.S. backing or force will fail.
Peng also condemned the perception that the U.S. uses Taiwan merely as an "ATM" or chess piece to contain China, accusing the U.S. of exploiting Taiwan. He accused the DPP of failing to protect Taiwan’s legitimate interests and instead squandering the people’s money to appease the U.S., which will eventually discard Taiwan.
Finally, Peng expressed strong opposition to U.S. senators’ proposals to legalize the "Six Assurances to Taiwan Act," labeling the assurances as illegal, invalid, and contradictory to the one-China principle, the three China-U.S. joint communiques, and international laws.
中国新质生产力撞上澳洲产业风口:6家深市龙头圈粉海外长期资本
China's Emerging New Productive Forces Meet Australia's Industrial Boom: 6 Leading Shenzhen Enterprises Attract Overseas Long-Term Capital
STCN | Local Language | News | Nov. 28, 2025 | UndeterminedBizdev-Partnering
On November 26, 2025, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange organized a roadshow in Sydney featuring six leading Shenzhen-listed companies—Tianqi Lithium, Goldwind Technology, Sunwoda, Megmeet, Shenghong Technology, and Luxshare Precision. These companies operate in sectors aligned with emerging productive forces such as green low-carbon technologies and high-end manufacturing. The event aimed to highlight China's high-quality economic development during the 15th Five-Year period, showcase Shenzhen's capital markets, and attract long-term overseas investment. Nearly 70 representatives from Australian pension funds, asset management firms, and investment institutions attended to explore investment opportunities and understand China's industrial upgrading and innovation.
The participating Chinese companies complement Australia's industrial strengths, particularly in new energy mineral resources and clean energy transition. Tianqi Lithium benefits from its global lithium mineral resources in Australia, Goldwind Technology supports Australia's renewable energy goals with its wind power technology, while Megmeet and Shenghong Technology provide advanced electrical automation and high-end circuit products tailored to local industry needs. Australian investors appreciated these firms' technological leadership, integration with local industries, and global strategic positioning, viewing them as promising investment targets amid China's technological innovation and move toward higher-value markets.
The companies emphasized their research and development capabilities and demonstrated strong ESG (environmental, social, and governance) practices, which attracted considerable interest from long-term overseas investors. For example, Tianqi Lithium highlighted its R&D focus on new lithium extraction technologies, while Sunwoda reported over 9,100 patent applications and engagement in industry standards development. ESG efforts among these firms range from Goldwind's sustainable wind turbine lifecycle management to Sunwoda's digital battery passport initiative and Shenghong Technology’s zero-carbon goals. These sustainable business practices have elevated their appeal to Australian pension funds and asset managers seeking long-term value investments.
Investment representatives expressed optimism about the companies’ long-term prospects, highlighting enhanced international competitiveness through innovation, strategic expansion, and improved governance. The roadshow reinforced foreign investors’ confidence in China's market, noting the country’s industrial transformation from scale to quality growth. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange plans to continue fostering overseas investor engagement and expand institutional openness, aiming to enhance matchmaking quality between Chinese listed companies and global capital while supporting China’s “dual carbon” strategic goals and international investment environment development.
Hillhouse in $7b fundraising as Asia private equity revives
Deal Street Asia | English | News | Nov. 28, 2025 | UndeterminedBizdev-Partnering
Hillhouse Investment has initiated fundraising for its next private equity fund with a target of $7 billion, marking a significant test of investor interest as deal activity in Asia picks up. Founded in 2005 by Zhang Lei, Hillhouse is continuing its global expansion with teams across key markets, following its record $18 billion fundraising in 2021, which was Asia’s largest at the time. The 2021 capital was allocated across buyout, growth, and venture investment vehicles.
Private equity fundraising in the Asia Pacific region has slowed, with $25.2 billion raised this year to date compared to $66.7 billion in 2024 and a peak of $241.2 billion in 2016. Hillhouse’s new fundraising will indicate the level of investor confidence in its global growth plans amid a shift where investors prioritize capital returns over new capital deployment. Renewed momentum comes from warming capital markets that facilitate exits and increasing attractiveness of assets in Japan and India.
Global private equity players are actively raising Asia-focused funds, highlighted by KKR’s recent launch of a $15 billion fund and Blackstone’s $10 billion-plus raised for its third Asia fund capped at $12.9 billion. EQT also expects to close a $14.5 billion Asia buyout fund in 2026. M&A activity targeting Asian firms by private equity has reached $130 billion this year, already surpassing prior annual totals.
Hillhouse is known for early investments in Chinese tech giants and recent global buyout deals including Philips’ domestic appliances, Australian medical researcher George Clinic, and Japan’s Samty Holdings. The latest fundraising coincides with renewed investor interest in China, prompted by lower valuations and a global capital market shift away from the U.S. towards Europe and Asia. This resurgence is critical as investing in China remains central to large Asia-focused funds.
While specifics of Hillhouse’s sixth fund have not been disclosed, the firm maintains a focus on technology, business services, healthcare, and consumer sectors. It plans to increase investment activity and staffing in Japan, which is a key market driver in Asia’s private equity landscape.
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