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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
| Domain | Causal Chain | Possible Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Competitiveness | (NEV market share ↑ → Market-size & demand potential ↑ → Export sophistication (EXPY) delta ↑ → High-value-added export share ↑) | Rapid NEV adoption drives an upgrade in export mix, raising the share of high-value-added EV systems and integrated supply-chain solutions. |
| Energy & Natural Resources | (Battery production capacity ↑ → Grid-scale battery-storage fleet capacity ↑ → Renewable-generation share of electricity ↑ → CO₂-intensity of GDP change ↓) | Enhanced grid storage from expanded battery capacity boosts renewable electricity share and drives down the CO₂ intensity of GDP. |
| Competitiveness | (NEV exports ↑ → Trade-openness & preferential access ↑ → Real export market-share change ↑ → FDI net inflow (% GDP) ↑) | Surging NEV exports improve China’s trade openness and export market share, attracting increased FDI into auto and battery sectors. |
| Transportation & Logistics | (Customs-and-border clearance digitisation ↑ → Average customs-clearance time ↓ → Door-to-door export lead time ↓ → Logistics-performance index (LPI) score ↑) | Customs digitization cuts clearance and delivery times, strengthening export reliability and lifting China’s LPI score. |
| Firms | (Supply-chain restructuring cadence ↑ → Inventory days on hand ↓ → Capex-to-cashflow ratio ↑ → Private fixed-investment growth ↑) | Accelerated supply-chain restructuring lowers inventories and frees cash, fueling private fixed-investment growth in the NEV ecosystem. |
| Technology & Innovation | (Enterprise AI adoption index ↑ → AI inference cost index shift ↓ → Total-factor productivity growth from tech ↑ → Patent-to-product conversion rate ↑) | Wider enterprise AI adoption reduces inference costs, accelerating total-factor productivity gains and boosting patent-to-product conversion in NEV technologies. |
| Transportation & Logistics | (Nearshoring supply chains ↑ → Input-cost inflation (producer-price index) ↓ → Freight cost share of export value ↓ → Logistics carbon-neutral shipment share ↑) | Nearshoring supply chains dampens input-cost inflation and freight expenses while expanding the share of carbon-neutral logistics shipments. |
| Technology & Innovation | (5G standalone network coverage share ↑ → Cloud API average latency (ms) ↓ → SME digital-tool adoption index ↑ → Digital & knowledge-intensive industry share of GDP ↑) | Expanded 5G standalone coverage cuts cloud latency, spurring SME digital-tool uptake and expanding the digital and knowledge-intensive share of GDP. |
| Technology & Innovation | (Autonomous-vehicle regulatory readiness index ↑ → Regulatory-approval lead time (days) ↓ → Early-stage VC deal count ↑ → Unicorn creation count ↑) | Faster regulatory approval for autonomous vehicles unlocks more early-stage VC deals and increases the creation of unicorns in mobility innovation. |
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
China's space agency unveils plan to boost commercial growth, international cooperation
Xinhua | English | News | Nov. 28, 2025 | UndeterminedBizdev-Partnering
China's space agency, the China National Space Administration (CNSA), has unveiled a two-year action plan to support commercial space enterprises and promote their international cooperation efforts. The plan encourages these firms to expand globally and assist developing countries in building satellite-application industries, integrating commercial projects into China's broader international cooperation agenda.
The CNSA will increase commercial access to national facilities, including civilian tracking, telemetry and control (TT&C) stations, data-receiving sites, and large-scale test assets like rocket-engine test stands. Commercial companies will be selected through open competition to participate in key space programs involving advanced propulsion, next-generation satellite platforms, and integrated communications, navigation, and remote-sensing applications.
A national commercial space development fund will be established, and government procurement will be broadened to incorporate commercial capabilities such as launch vehicles, satellites, launch sites, and TT&C infrastructure into national missions. Local governments are encouraged to create technology-innovation centers focused on reusable rockets and smart satellites, along with open platforms for manufacturing and testing.
Additional support includes building commercial launch sites, unifying space standards, and providing space-debris data for collision warnings. The plan encourages commercial firms to pioneer activities in space resource utilization, on-orbit servicing, debris removal, space tourism, and in-space biomanufacturing. The overall objective is to achieve high-quality commercial space development by 2027, with aerospace prioritized as a strategic emerging industry in China's 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030).
Taiwan's DPP slammed for squandering money on external favor
Xinhua | English | News | Nov. 28, 2025 | Political Scandal or Corruption
A spokesperson from China's State Council Taiwan Affairs Office, Peng Qing’en, criticized Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) for allocating funds toward weapons purchases and courting external support instead of improving livelihoods and economic development. Peng warned that these actions would lead Taiwan toward disaster.
The remarks responded to Taiwan leader Lai Ching-te's plan to propose a special defense budget amounting to 40 billion U.S. dollars. Peng reiterated that China's reunification is inevitable and that attempts to seek independence through U.S. backing or force will fail.
Peng also condemned the perception that the U.S. uses Taiwan merely as an "ATM" or chess piece to contain China, accusing the U.S. of exploiting Taiwan. He accused the DPP of failing to protect Taiwan’s legitimate interests and instead squandering the people’s money to appease the U.S., which will eventually discard Taiwan.
Finally, Peng expressed strong opposition to U.S. senators’ proposals to legalize the "Six Assurances to Taiwan Act," labeling the assurances as illegal, invalid, and contradictory to the one-China principle, the three China-U.S. joint communiques, and international laws.
存储上下游紧急应对“超级周期” 供应链加码国产芯片
Urgent Response to the Storage Upstream and Downstream "Super Cycle" Supply Chain Boosts Domestic Chips
Sina Finance | Local Language | News | Nov. 28, 2025 | Supply Chain Issues
Driven by strong AI demand, the storage industry is experiencing a pronounced "super cycle," with prices for DRAM and NAND Flash chips surging significantly in 2025. For example, DRAM 4GB DDR4X prices increased from $7 in January to over $30 by mid-November, while Flash 64G eMMC prices rose from $3.2 to over $8. This price inflation has prompted some manufacturers to delay procurement, disassemble inventory phones for chips, and plan price increases on new devices. The shortages, described as the most severe in 20 years, have led to customers receiving only about 30% of their original orders, causing some international electronics brand leaders to intervene personally to secure supply.
AI server demand is the main driver behind this surge, resulting in supply chain disruptions that have forced companies like NVIDIA to warn of GPU price hikes and suspend certain product lines. AMD has also announced significant price increases across its GPU portfolio. Domestic companies such as Haiguang Information and Rockchip have reported cost pressures and shifts in storage solutions due to rising prices. Module manufacturers have moved from destocking to competing over limited inventory, particularly as international memory suppliers prioritize North American server markets over China, tightening local supply.
Despite the challenges, some domestic firms in China are benefiting from the recovery, and packaging and testing factories have reported growth. The storage price increases are expected to continue through 2026, driving cautious production plans among OEMs. Low- and mid-end phone manufacturers are hardest hit due to slower DDR5 adoption, leading to adjustments in storage configurations to manage costs. Major firms like Lenovo are increasing chip inventories to mitigate supply tightness and avoid passing costs to consumers, though production forecasts for smartphones and laptops in 2026 have been downgraded due to these pressures.
In response, the domestic storage chip supply chain in China is rapidly adapting, with companies forming strategic partnerships to diversify supply sources, particularly with local manufacturers like Yangtze Memory and ChangXin Memory. These domestic producers have improved their technology and capacity, achieving significant market share gains, especially in servers and some phone segments. ChangXin Memory’s shipments are estimated to rise significantly, and they have launched new DDR5 products, demonstrating growing competitiveness. Industry analysts highlight that the longer-term relief from price increases depends on the ramp-up of DDR5 capacity in mainland China, but the trend towards domestic chip adoption is strengthening amid this storage super cycle.
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