China

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Strengthening Ties: Grenada and China Deepen Economic and Social Cooperation
Jan. 15, 2025 | Indirect Indicator

During an official visit to China on January 13, 2025, Grenadian Prime Minister Dickon Mitchell engaged in pivotal discussions with Chinese President Xi Jinping, focusing on bolstering economic and social ties.

The dialogue between the two leaders revolved around collaborative efforts in new energy, green development, and the digital economy, while emphasizing the importance of enhancing South-South cooperation to propel Grenada's progress. They expressed a mutual recognition of the deepening political trust and effective partnerships that have flourished in trade, education, and agriculture.

In a gesture of solidarity, Prime Minister Mitchell extended condolences for a recent earthquake in China, while President Xi commended China's disaster relief endeavors. In return, Prime Minister Mitchell expressed gratitude for China's assistance following a hurricane that struck Grenada the previous year. Both nations reiterated their support for the one-China principle, with President Xi pledging ongoing cooperation in climate change initiatives and disaster management.

Further discussions were held between Mitchell and Zhao Leji, chairman of China's National People's Congress Standing Committee. These talks focused on the implementation of key bilateral agreements and the enhancement of legislative exchanges to foster mutual progress. Additionally, Chinese Premier Li Qiang acknowledged the strides made over two decades of respectful and practical collaboration, advocating further Chinese investment in Grenada and boosting climate resilience efforts across the Caribbean.

As a result of these meetings, several bilateral agreements were signed, strengthening ties in diverse areas such as the Belt and Road Initiative, economy, trade, green development, culture, media, and climate change. This diplomatic visit coincided with the 20th anniversary of the renewed relationship between China and Grenada, marking substantial growth since the re-establishment of diplomatic relations in 2005. Prime Minister Mitchell's visit included events in Beijing and trips to Zhejiang Province and Shanghai.
China's Automotive Boom in 2024: Record Growth Driven by NEVs and Exports
Jan. 15, 2025 | Indirect Indicator

In 2024, China's automotive industry reached unprecedented heights with production hitting 31.28 million units and sales climbing to 31.44 million units.

These figures represent increases of 3.7% and 4.5%, respectively, compared to the previous year, firmly establishing China as the world's largest automotive market. This growth was bolstered by supportive government policies and promotional activities, effectively overcoming hurdles such as low consumer confidence and increased market competition.

A significant aspect of this expansion was the remarkable rise in new energy vehicles (NEVs). Production in this segment surged by 34.4%, reaching 12.89 million units, while sales grew by 35.5%, amounting to 12.87 million units. NEVs accounted for 40.9% of total new car sales, marking a 9.3 percentage point increase from the prior year. This rise was largely driven by government incentives, such as higher subsidies for NEVs compared to traditional vehicles.

In 2024, China also exported 5.86 million vehicles, marking a 19.3% increase over the previous year. Analysts forecast sustained growth into 2025, underpinned by initiatives aimed at boosting domestic demand and overall economic expansion. The allure of NEVs continues to grow, spurred by advanced technology, diverse pricing options, and lower operational costs. Government incentives, including trade-in subsidies and free car plates in major cities, have amplified the transition from conventional to electric vehicles.

Domestic passenger car sales rose significantly to 17.97 million units, a 23.1% increase from the previous year. Chinese brands expanded their market share to 65.2%, a rise of 9.2 percentage points, attributed to enhanced quality and competitive pricing of domestic NEV brands.

Despite challenges such as weak domestic demand and restrictive international trade policies, favorable government measures and rental subsidies maintained production and sales levels above 30 million units. Vehicle inventories decreased by 3.9% to 1.106 million cars, with scrappage and replacement contributing sales revenue of CNY920 billion (USD135.1 billion).

Looking ahead, the outlook for China's auto production and sales remains optimistic. NEV sales are anticipated to reach approximately 16 million units in 2025. Future growth projections suggest overall car sales could reach 32.9 million units by then, with NEVs playing a significant role in this expansion, predicted to increase sales by 24% to 16 million units.

Monitored Intelligence for China - Jan. 15, 2025


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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.

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Oceans becoming warmer in China and worldwide

Peoples Daily | English | News | Jan. 15, 2025 | Climate Change

The average surface temperature of China's coastal waters hit a record high of 21.5°C in 2024, rising for the second consecutive year and exceeding the typical annual average by 1.16°C. Significant regional increases were noted, particularly in the Bohai Sea and northern Yellow Sea, which were 1.51°C above average. This rise in sea temperature is crucial as it impacts the exchange of heat and moisture with the atmosphere, subsequently affecting weather patterns.

Globally, sea surface temperatures also reached a record high of 20.87°C, marking 2024 as the warmest year for ocean waters in modern history. Key regions, including the Indian Ocean, North Atlantic, and Mediterranean Sea, reported record temperatures. Research from the Chinese Academy of Sciences highlighted the uneven nature of global warming, influenced by phenomena such as El Niño and La Niña.

Rising ocean temperatures are linked to an increase in extreme weather events, including droughts, typhoons, and floods. In 2024, 104 countries experienced record high temperatures, with significant impacts from droughts and wildfires. Notable events included catastrophic floods in Spain and multiple tropical cyclones in the southeastern United States, along with super typhoons in Hainan province, China.

Moreover, ocean warming contributes to rising global sea levels by one-third, increasing risks for coastal and low-lying areas due to land erosion. Scientists warn that without substantial climate change mitigation efforts, the frequency and costs associated with these disruptions will continue to escalate.

Chinese FM urges Philippines to stop malicious hype on South China Sea

Global Times | English | News | Jan. 15, 2025 | South China Sea

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun addressed the Philippines' diplomatic protest regarding China's actions in the South China Sea, particularly involving the China Coast Guard vessel CCG 5901. He asserted that China's sovereignty and rights in the region are historically established and in line with international law, criticizing the Philippines for its accusations as a distortion of legal positions influenced by perception of Chinese law enforcement.

Li Kaisheng from the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies suggested that the Philippines' stance highlights a long-term distortion of legal contexts and an expectation of unwavering U.S. support. Yang Xiao of the Institute of Maritime Strategy Studies noted that the Philippine leadership appears intent on maintaining tensions to secure favorable U.S. policy decisions.

Additionally, Yang highlighted that U.S. President Joe Biden recently commended Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. for his diplomatic approach regarding the situation during a tripartite call with Japan. However, Li cautioned that U.S. foreign policy is heavily shaped by the current president's perspective, indicating that Marcos Jr. may not achieve his goals as the Biden administration approaches its conclusion.

(经济观察)迎自贸港封关运作 海南各地快马加鞭拼开放

(Economic Observation) Hainan is stepping up efforts to open up as the free trade port is put into operation

China Daily | Local Language | News | Jan. 15, 2025 | UndeterminedTrade Issues and Numbers

Hainan is accelerating its development as the Free Trade Port is set to launch by 2025. Recent government reports during the Hainan Municipal and County Two Sessions underscored the importance of enhancing international openness. Haikou City plans to adopt international trade standards, implement a negative list for cross-border services, and increase cross-border data usage. Sanya City will focus on improving data flow and advancing open policy pilot projects in retail and professional services.

Danzhou City, earmarked as a model for the Free Trade Port, will introduce liberalization measures and innovations in cross-border e-commerce, especially for pharmaceutical imports. Cities across Hainan are leveraging their unique attributes to promote reforms that bolster foreign investment, trade, and tourism. Initiatives include establishing a whitelist for foreign trade enterprises in Haikou and visa-free policies in Sanya to attract foreign talent and tourists.

Hainan is transitioning from a factor-based trade model to one that promotes investment and trade through institutional frameworks. The province is focusing on sectors like healthcare, education, digital trade, and finance while seeking deeper collaboration with Belt and Road Initiative countries, particularly in Southeast Asia. Strategic parks across Hainan are key to this process and will serve as proving grounds for advanced trade practices by 2025.

The Haikou Jiangdong New District is set to become a hub for international modern services, expecting significant growth in import-export and offshore trade activities. Proposed initiatives include open policies for financial services and support for international businesses. As the Free Trade Port prepares for closed-border operations, Hainan aims to enhance regulatory compatibility, protect property rights, and contribute to international service trade standards. Key leaders emphasize innovation and a trial-and-error approach to successfully attract investments.

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