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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
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Need to strengthen development trajectory in Manipur: PM
Times of India | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth
Prime Minister Narendra Modi emphasized the need for renewed efforts to strengthen the development trajectory in Manipur, a state affected by ethnic strife. He assured the state administration of the Centre’s full and steadfast support, recalling his visit to Manipur in September 2025 as part of efforts to defuse ethnic tensions between the Meiteis and Kukis and restore normalcy.
In his letter to Manipur Governor Ajay Kumar Bhalla, Modi praised the people of Manipur for their courage and faith in peace and progress. He highlighted the government’s commitment since 2014 under the ‘Act East, Act Fast’ resolve to empower the region, unlock opportunities, and fulfill local aspirations.
Modi also wrote to the chief ministers of Tripura and Meghalaya on their statehood days, acknowledging past feelings of alienation from the national mainstream in the Northeast. He pointed to the 2024 peace accord in Tripura with insurgent groups NLFT and ATTF as a turning point, marking a new era of hope. For Meghalaya, he noted that development had stagnated before the NDA government took office in 2014 and has since worked extensively to transform the region.
A Reset of India’s Export Import Rules
Obhan & Associates | English | AcademicThink | Jan. 23, 2026 | Regulation
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has notified the Foreign Exchange Management (Export and Import of Goods and Services) Regulations, 2026, effective from October 1, 2026, replacing previous regulations from 2015 and related directives. These New Regulations aim to simplify cross-border trade compliance through consolidation, delegation, and procedural clarity without introducing new prohibitions or thresholds. They reorganize how exporters, importers, authorized dealers, and regulators manage foreign trade operations.
Key provisions include a defined timeline for service exporters to submit Export Declaration Forms (EDF) within 30 days from the month-end of invoice issuance, with consolidated EDFs allowed for multiple exports within a month. Software exports are now expressly categorized under services, aligning their procedural requirements accordingly. Export proceeds must be realized and repatriated within 15 months of shipment, invoicing, or overseas warehouse sale, with extensions permissible by authorized dealers. Project exports follow contract payment terms and may have extended timelines. For invoicing in Indian Rupees, the realization period extends to 18 months.
For transactions up to Rs. 10 lakh, authorized dealers may close export and import data entries based on self-declarations without full documentary proof, facilitating ease for smaller operators. Quarterly bulk closures of low-value entries are now permitted. Import payments are aligned with contractual terms, and authorized dealers can grant extensions as needed. Advance remittances remain allowed; however, future remittances may require financial guarantees if prior advances are not settled within the contracted period.
The New Regulations explicitly permit set-off of export receivables against import payables, third-party payments, and reduction or non-realization of export proceeds based on authorized dealers’ assessments. For transactions up to Rs. 10 lakh, exporters’ declarations suffice for realisation adjustments. Merchanting Trade Transactions are now formally regulated, requiring inward and outward remittances within six months, direct payment flows with conditional third-party involvement, and active monitoring by authorized dealers.
EDPMS and IDPMS systems have been upgraded from reporting tools to active compliance mechanisms, with authorized dealers responsible for timely entries, follow-up, and closure of transactions, including powers to close entries when advances are not repatriated or imports do not materialize. The overall framework is designed to provide predictable, system-driven foreign trade oversight anchored in clear timelines, value thresholds, and dealer-level discretion.
Supreme Court Rules on Taxability of Capital Gains in India – Denies Mauritius Tax Treaty Benefits and GAAR Grandfathering Protection
AZB & Partners | English | AcademicThink | Jan. 23, 2026 | Regulation
On January 15, 2026, the Supreme Court of India ruled against the Mauritian investment entities of Tiger Global regarding their claim for tax treaty benefits on capital gains from their 2018 sale of Flipkart shares to the Walmart Group. The court emphasized the principle of ‘substance over form’ in the post-GAAR framework introduced in India's Income-tax Act from April 1, 2017.
Tiger Global's Mauritian entities had argued that their gains were tax-exempt under the India-Mauritius DTAA. However, the Supreme Court clarified that DTAA benefits apply only when the transaction is taxable in the non-resident state and rejected the claim for indirect transfer exemptions under Article 13(4) of the DTAA. It was highlighted that the Tax Residency Certificate (TRC) alone does not guarantee treaty benefits, as Indian tax authorities can assess commercial substance beyond the certificate.
The court overturned earlier authorities granting conclusive status to TRCs before GAAR's introduction and established that treaty interpretation must align with domestic anti-abuse laws. GAAR provisions apply even to gains realized after April 1, 2017, regardless of when the original investment was made, and arrangements primarily aimed at tax avoidance without commercial substance can be challenged under GAAR or JAAR.
The Supreme Court found the Tiger Global structure to be prima facie tax-driven, thereby denying DTAA benefits. This judgment underscores heightened scrutiny on treaty benefits and reinforces that substance will prevail over form in tax matters involving cross-border capital gains in India.
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