India

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Delhi’s Escalating Air Quality Crisis and Policy Initiatives
Dec. 2, 2025 | Environment

Delhi’s deteriorating air quality remains a critical public health and policy challenge.

**At 7 am on December 1, 2025, Delhi’s air quality index climbed to 299, up from 279 the previous evening and just two points shy of the ‘very poor’ category.**
Twenty-three monitoring stations recorded ‘very poor’ levels, with Nehru Nagar posting the highest reading at 354 and NSIT Dwarka the lowest at 195. Areas such as Rohini, Bawana, RK Puram, Mundka, and Punjabi Bagh all registered AQIs above 320, while Anand Vihar, Jahangirpuri, Vivek Vihar, Shadipur, and Pusa remained firmly in the ‘very poor’ bracket. A dense smog layer settled over landmarks like ITO and India Gate, illustrating the pollution’s widespread impact.

**Despite this spike, the January–November 2025 average AQI in the Delhi-NCR stood at 187, the lowest in eight years aside from the 2020 lockdown period.**
This represented a steady improvement from averages of 201 in 2024, 190 in 2023, 199 in 2022, 197 in 2021, 203 in 2019, and 213 in 2018. The region experienced only three days in the ‘severe’ category this year—down from 11 days in 2024 and 12 in 2023—and recorded no readings above 450. Authorities also noted that PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations reached their lowest levels in two years.

**On November 29, the Commission for Air Quality Management in the National Capital Region downgraded its Graded Response Action Plan’s ‘severe’ measures from Stage IV to Stage III.**
NCR state governments and the Delhi administration will now decide whether to operate public, municipal, and private offices at 50 percent capacity, with the remainder of staff working remotely. Central government departments will await directives from the appropriate central administration on remote work arrangements.

**Meanwhile, former IPS officer and ex-Lieutenant Governor of Puducherry Kiran Bedi proposed drafting a comprehensive “White Paper” on Delhi’s air pollution crisis.**
The document would assign accountability by identifying policy failures and inherited challenges, then establish a time-bound recovery plan that designates specific responsibilities to government agencies and citizens.

**Within that framework, Bedi emphasized the dual role of all stakeholders as both contributors to and solvers of the crisis.**
She called for strict enforcement of regulations alongside large-scale public awareness campaigns through media and educational channels. She also recommended daily field inspections of dusty roads, construction sites, and other emission sources, urging enhanced coordination across agencies and minimal reliance on paperwork.

**Building on these recommendations, Bedi urged Prime Minister Narendra Modi to convene monthly virtual review meetings involving the PM’s office, Delhi’s administration, and neighboring states.**
She proposed engaging the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change; the Commission for Air Quality Management; state governments; municipal bodies; and district magistrates to conduct daily compliance checks on emissions, construction activity, road dust, and traffic management across the NCR.

**Bedi also criticized officials’ reliance on air purifiers in government offices and official vehicles, arguing that such measures prevent them from experiencing the pollution levels endured by the public.**
She warned that weeks of ‘very poor’ air quality continue to pose serious health risks to children, the elderly, and people with respiratory conditions.
India-Russia Defense Partnership Advances with High-Level Talks and Arms Supply Commitments
Dec. 2, 2025 | Geopolitics & Defense

India and Russia’s defense partnership is reinforced by ongoing arms supplies and planned high-level negotiations.

**India and Russia maintain a Special and Privileged Strategic Partnership under which Russia has long supplied the bulk of India’s military hardware.**
Despite New Delhi’s efforts to diversify its arms imports with acquisitions from the United States and Europe, Moscow remains a key provider. Over the four years ending in 2024, India’s purchases of Russian weaponry declined, yet Russia still supplies a significant portion of India’s defense inventory, including more than 200 fighter jets and multiple S-400 missile defence batteries, which India deployed during last May’s conflict with Pakistan. At the same time, Defence Secretary Rajesh Kumar Singh has confirmed that India will sustain its long-standing cooperation with Russia even as it pursues new deals with Western suppliers.

**Meanwhile, facing a shortage of combat aircraft, the Indian Air Force is exploring purchases of next-generation Su-57 stealth fighters.**
Officials argue that existing training, logistics, and maintenance infrastructure at Hindustan Aeronautics Limited will ease the transition to these jets, whose advanced long-range missile capabilities would bolster India’s beyond-visual-range engagement capacity.

**Looking ahead, during President Vladimir Putin’s visit to New Delhi in early December 2025, Indian leaders plan to discuss acquiring the Su-57 and an advanced variant of Russia’s S-500 missile defence shield.**
Although the US administration is urging India to limit military dealings with Moscow, both sides do not anticipate finalizing formal contracts on this trip.

**They will also address delays in delivering the remaining S-400 batteries, with Russia pledging to complete shipments in India’s 2026-27 financial year.**
The agenda will extend to accelerating upgrades for Su-30 multirole fighters and advancing joint defence projects, all within the broader framework of sustained bilateral cooperation.

Monitored Intelligence for India - Dec. 2, 2025


News
Media
163

Government
Releases
3

City/State
Releases
0

Embassy
Releases
0
Foreign
Service
Advisories
0
Academic/
Think
Tank
1


Podcasts
0


Videos
0

Social
Media
0

Business
Releases
0

Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.

Risk Categories Reported on Today

Risk Category
Items Reported On
Natural Disasters
2
Accidents
5
Critical Infrastructure Failure
1
Extreme Weather Events
6
Protest, Demonstration, Dissent
3
Regulation
13
Corporate Corruption or Fraud
2
Crime
5
Political Scandal or Corruption
5
Privacy
4
Pollution
3
Communal and Religious Strife
4
Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes
5
Terrorism
3
Supply Chain Issues
1
Shifting Geopolitical Alliances
1
Regulatory Enforcement Actions
1

Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.

We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.

Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.

Operations Categories Reported on Today

Operations Category
Items Reported On
Real Estate
1
Political Policy Resistance
2
Supply Chain Issues
2
Politics and Elections
5
Demographics
2
Asset Price Change
3
Operating Results
1
Legal Exposure
1
Inflation
1
Financial System Problems
2
Energy Prices
1
Mergers & Acquisitions
1
Wages and Compensation
1
Economic Growth
2
Tech Development/Adoption
1
Investor Sentiment
1
Bankruptcy-Insolvency
1

Global bytes. Singapore is top container port globally

Hindu Business Line | English | News | Dec. 2, 2025 | Supply Chain Issues

Singapore has been ranked the world’s leading container port according to the first edition of the ‘Leading Container Ports of the World’ (LCP) report by DNV and Menon Economics. Shanghai and Ningbo-Zhoushan follow in second and third place, while Rotterdam and Busan complete the top five. Maritime transport handles nearly 90 percent of global trade by volume, with container ports managing over 80 percent of non-bulk merchandise, amid significant transformation driven by rising trade, technological advancements, and climate pressures.

Bangladesh has signed a major agreement to develop the Laldia container terminal in Chattogram with an investment exceeding $550 million through a public–private partnership between Chittagong Port Authority and APM Terminals. The terminal will add more than 800,000 TEUs of capacity annually, reduce congestion, lower logistics costs, and support faster goods movement. Sustainability features include electrified equipment, solar power, and shore power readiness to align with Bangladesh’s climate objectives.

In global trade trends, air cargo demand increased by 4.1 percent and capacity by 5.1 percent in October 2025, marking eight consecutive months of growth, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA). Global goods trade grew 5.3 percent year-on-year in September, while industrial production rose 3.7 percent, its fastest pace since March 2025. Jet fuel prices grew 2.5 percent in October despite falling crude oil prices, with a tightening diesel market nearly doubling the jet crack spread compared to last year.

Manufacturing sentiment improved slightly in October, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rising to 51.45 over three months, although new export orders fell to 48.31, below the expansion threshold. This reflects ongoing caution due to tariff uncertainties impacting global trade conditions.

Sebi to end P-Note secrecy with mandatory NSDL registration for ODI investors

The Economic Times | English | News | Dec. 2, 2025 | Regulation

The Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is set to enhance transparency and end the anonymity of offshore derivative instrument (ODI) investors by mandating registration with the National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL). ODIs, also known as participatory notes, are issued by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) to overseas investors who want exposure to Indian securities without directly registering with Sebi. Under the new procedure being developed, only foreign ODI subscribers registered on the NSDL portal will be eligible to receive ODIs, allowing greater visibility of these investors through their legal entity identifier (LEI).

The proposed standard operating procedure (SOP) will extend granular disclosure requirements to ODI subscribers, similar to the norms introduced for FPIs in 2023 following allegations against the Adani group by the US short-seller Hindenburg. If ODI subscribers’ Indian portfolio concentration exceeds 50% in a single stock or corporate group, they will be required to disclose the identities of the ultimate beneficiaries, even if the issuing FPI has not crossed exposure limits. This measure aims to prevent misuse of the P-note route for surrogate ownership and to ensure comprehensive Know Your Customer (KYC) compliance.

The SOP also outlines the responsibilities of ODI issuers, subscribers, and depositories to maintain compliance and facilitate automated daily reporting and breach notifications. Non-compliance could result in trading restrictions and forced liquidation. Specific timelines are provided for FPIs breaching the exposure concentration limits, requiring reduction of stakes by February 2025 and imposing trading curbs from early 2026 if breaches persist. These changes are expected to take effect from February 16, 2026, with ODI positions in IPOs being reported on listing dates to further bolster regulatory oversight.

Govt to back air passengers in SC against Delhi, Mumbai airport operators in Rs 50,000 crore suit

Times of India | English | News | Dec. 2, 2025 | Regulation

The Indian government has decided to support the Airports Economic Regulatory Authority of India (AERA) in a Supreme Court case against the Delhi and Mumbai airport operators, Delhi International Airport Limited (DIAL) and Mumbai International Airport Limited (MIAL). The dispute centers around a Rs 50,000-crore claim related to the hypothetical regulatory asset base (HRAB) for the first two years of airport operations during the public-private partnership (PPP) era about 20 years ago. The airport operators have challenged the Telecom Disputes Settlement and Appellate Tribunal’s (TDSAT) ruling that struck down their HRAB claim.

If the operators succeed, it could lead to substantial increases in passenger charges, including user development fees (UDF) and airline landing and parking fees, ultimately increasing airfare costs. The government estimates that the UDF could rise nearly ninefold in Delhi and 21 times in Mumbai, with domestic UDF at Delhi potentially increasing from Rs 129 to Rs 1,261 and at Mumbai from Rs 175 to Rs 3,856. This claim pertains to the asset valuation at the time when the airports were transferred to private management in 2006, before AERA began setting tariffs in 2009.

The government argues that DIAL and MIAL are demanding a much higher valuation of assets, including non-aeronautical properties such as hotels and malls, which the officials warn would undermine the brownfield airport development model by making it prohibitively expensive for users. The aviation ministry has committed to legally contesting the claim vigorously to protect passengers from this potential financial burden.

Try the Daily Briefing for your country of choice for two weeks--free of charge and with no obligation.

Have a service or subscription question? We'd be happy to hear from you.

How can we help?
Full Name:
Email Address:
Type of Inquiry:
Country of Interest:

Contact us for a free trial of the Daily Briefing for your country of choice.


We currently cover:
South Korea
Japan
China
Taiwan
Vietnam
India

info@eruditerisk.com

The Daily Briefing is delivered Monday through Thursday via email.

Each day's reports include a combination of:

Takes
Takes are our deep dives into a topic of enduring interest or concern. Takes include copious references to all the media resources we gathered to build them.

Developments
Developments are key issues and incidents being heavily reported on in country. These are the centers of local thought gravity around which everything else revolves.

Risk Media
Summaries and analysis of the most important risk issues reported on in media, arranged by risk category. Learn about risk trends and issues while they are developing--before they blow up.

Ops Media
Summaries and analysis of the most important operational issues reported on in media, arranged by operations category. See what's changing in your market, and what's not.

Government Releases
Government press and data releases on key economic data, regulation, law, intiatives, incidents. Straight from the government's press to your eyes in less than a day.

Embassy and Business Association Releases
Statements and news releases from foreign embassies and business/industry associations, including chambers of commerce.

The Daily Briefing is comprehensive!

The Daily Briefing can run 50-100 pages each day!

Luckily, Erudite Risk tailors every report specifically to you.

Content Filtering
We try hard to ensure that every piece of information included in each day's reports will be of interest to our readers.

To fulfill our goal of comprehensively monitoring the intelligence landscape and also keeping reports readable, we build big reports--then deliver only the information that applies to you.

Each Daily Briefing is a bespoke report matched to your concerns. Tell us what you want in it, or we can match it to your professional needs. It's that easy.