India

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Delhi’s Escalating Air Quality Crisis and Policy Initiatives
Dec. 2, 2025 | Environment

Delhi’s deteriorating air quality remains a critical public health and policy challenge.

**At 7 am on December 1, 2025, Delhi’s air quality index climbed to 299, up from 279 the previous evening and just two points shy of the ‘very poor’ category.**
Twenty-three monitoring stations recorded ‘very poor’ levels, with Nehru Nagar posting the highest reading at 354 and NSIT Dwarka the lowest at 195. Areas such as Rohini, Bawana, RK Puram, Mundka, and Punjabi Bagh all registered AQIs above 320, while Anand Vihar, Jahangirpuri, Vivek Vihar, Shadipur, and Pusa remained firmly in the ‘very poor’ bracket. A dense smog layer settled over landmarks like ITO and India Gate, illustrating the pollution’s widespread impact.

**Despite this spike, the January–November 2025 average AQI in the Delhi-NCR stood at 187, the lowest in eight years aside from the 2020 lockdown period.**
This represented a steady improvement from averages of 201 in 2024, 190 in 2023, 199 in 2022, 197 in 2021, 203 in 2019, and 213 in 2018. The region experienced only three days in the ‘severe’ category this year—down from 11 days in 2024 and 12 in 2023—and recorded no readings above 450. Authorities also noted that PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations reached their lowest levels in two years.

**On November 29, the Commission for Air Quality Management in the National Capital Region downgraded its Graded Response Action Plan’s ‘severe’ measures from Stage IV to Stage III.**
NCR state governments and the Delhi administration will now decide whether to operate public, municipal, and private offices at 50 percent capacity, with the remainder of staff working remotely. Central government departments will await directives from the appropriate central administration on remote work arrangements.

**Meanwhile, former IPS officer and ex-Lieutenant Governor of Puducherry Kiran Bedi proposed drafting a comprehensive “White Paper” on Delhi’s air pollution crisis.**
The document would assign accountability by identifying policy failures and inherited challenges, then establish a time-bound recovery plan that designates specific responsibilities to government agencies and citizens.

**Within that framework, Bedi emphasized the dual role of all stakeholders as both contributors to and solvers of the crisis.**
She called for strict enforcement of regulations alongside large-scale public awareness campaigns through media and educational channels. She also recommended daily field inspections of dusty roads, construction sites, and other emission sources, urging enhanced coordination across agencies and minimal reliance on paperwork.

**Building on these recommendations, Bedi urged Prime Minister Narendra Modi to convene monthly virtual review meetings involving the PM’s office, Delhi’s administration, and neighboring states.**
She proposed engaging the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change; the Commission for Air Quality Management; state governments; municipal bodies; and district magistrates to conduct daily compliance checks on emissions, construction activity, road dust, and traffic management across the NCR.

**Bedi also criticized officials’ reliance on air purifiers in government offices and official vehicles, arguing that such measures prevent them from experiencing the pollution levels endured by the public.**
She warned that weeks of ‘very poor’ air quality continue to pose serious health risks to children, the elderly, and people with respiratory conditions.
India-Russia Defense Partnership Advances with High-Level Talks and Arms Supply Commitments
Dec. 2, 2025 | Geopolitics & Defense

India and Russia’s defense partnership is reinforced by ongoing arms supplies and planned high-level negotiations.

**India and Russia maintain a Special and Privileged Strategic Partnership under which Russia has long supplied the bulk of India’s military hardware.**
Despite New Delhi’s efforts to diversify its arms imports with acquisitions from the United States and Europe, Moscow remains a key provider. Over the four years ending in 2024, India’s purchases of Russian weaponry declined, yet Russia still supplies a significant portion of India’s defense inventory, including more than 200 fighter jets and multiple S-400 missile defence batteries, which India deployed during last May’s conflict with Pakistan. At the same time, Defence Secretary Rajesh Kumar Singh has confirmed that India will sustain its long-standing cooperation with Russia even as it pursues new deals with Western suppliers.

**Meanwhile, facing a shortage of combat aircraft, the Indian Air Force is exploring purchases of next-generation Su-57 stealth fighters.**
Officials argue that existing training, logistics, and maintenance infrastructure at Hindustan Aeronautics Limited will ease the transition to these jets, whose advanced long-range missile capabilities would bolster India’s beyond-visual-range engagement capacity.

**Looking ahead, during President Vladimir Putin’s visit to New Delhi in early December 2025, Indian leaders plan to discuss acquiring the Su-57 and an advanced variant of Russia’s S-500 missile defence shield.**
Although the US administration is urging India to limit military dealings with Moscow, both sides do not anticipate finalizing formal contracts on this trip.

**They will also address delays in delivering the remaining S-400 batteries, with Russia pledging to complete shipments in India’s 2026-27 financial year.**
The agenda will extend to accelerating upgrades for Su-30 multirole fighters and advancing joint defence projects, all within the broader framework of sustained bilateral cooperation.

Monitored Intelligence for India - Dec. 3, 2025


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Asia’s arms race shift: India climbs, China slides on PLA graft charges

Times of India | English | News | Dec. 3, 2025 | Political Scandal or Corruption

Global arms revenues reached a record $679 billion in 2024, increasing by 5.9% in real terms, driven mainly by Europe and the US. However, Asia and Oceania experienced a decline in total arms revenues, primarily due to a 10% drop in Chinese arms company revenues amid corruption scandals and contract delays. Contrastingly, India’s arms revenues grew steadily by 8.2%, reaching $7.5 billion across its three top-ranked defense firms: Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL), Bharat Electronics Ltd (BEL), and Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders.

India’s growth was fueled by domestic orders in radar and electronic warfare equipment, aligning with its military modernization priorities and the “Atmanirbhar Bharat” self-reliance initiative. BEL saw the largest jump with a 24% increase, HAL experienced a slight decline due to delivery issues but remained a key supplier, and Mazagon Dock grew nearly 10% through continued naval production.

In contrast, China’s eight Top 100 arms producers saw combined revenues fall to $88.3 billion, affected by anti-corruption purges, leadership instability, and delays in key programs. Notable declines included NORINCO (-31%) and CASC (-16%), while AVIC also posted a slight decrease. Only two Chinese firms grew, notably CSSC with an 8.7% increase linked to naval expansion. Internal disruptions add uncertainty to China’s military modernization amid ongoing regional tensions.

Other Asian countries offset some regional declines: South Korean arms suppliers grew 31% to $14.1 billion, and Japanese companies posted a 40% rise to $13.3 billion amid increased defense spending. Globally, US defense firms remain dominant with $334 billion in revenues, but face significant program delays and cost overruns impacting capability delivery. European arms producers grew 13% to $151 billion due to rearmament linked to the war in Ukraine.

Russia’s arms revenues rose 23% to $31.2 billion, supported by domestic military demand from the Ukraine conflict, vastly increasing artillery and missile production. The Middle East also expanded its defense presence, with nine firms entering the Top 100 and combined revenues reaching $31 billion, driven by Israeli companies benefiting from regional conflicts and global demand for advanced systems.

Looking ahead, India is expected to continue prioritizing indigenous defense production and potentially expanding exports, while China must address procurement integrity and political fallout to resume its modernization momentum. The evolving Asian arms landscape suggests a shift where institutional discipline and supply chain resilience are becoming critical, with India’s steady growth contrasting with China’s current internal challenges.

Vodafone Idea shares jump 4% on anticipation of AGR relief by year-end

The Economic Times | English | News | Dec. 3, 2025 | Regulation

Shares of Vodafone Idea rose 3.8% to an intraday high of Rs 10.32 on December 2, 2025, following signals that the Indian government is nearing a decision on the company's request for relief from adjusted gross revenue (AGR) dues. Union Telecom Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia stated that the government is waiting for a formal request from Vodafone Idea before considering any relief measures, emphasizing the need to carefully assess the recent Supreme Court judgment and its legal limits.

Scindia noted that the Ministry of Communications is reviewing what actions are permissible under the Supreme Court’s ruling and that final recommendations on Vodafone Idea's relief package could be announced within a few weeks, potentially by the end of the year. The relief being considered is specific to Vodafone Idea; other telecom players like Bharti Airtel would need separate petitions to seek similar relief.

The Supreme Court, on October 27, indicated no barrier to the government reconsidering Vodafone Idea's AGR dues appeal due to its large customer base and the Centre’s stake in the company. However, it was unclear whether the relief would apply only to additional dues of approximately Rs 9,500 crore or the company’s full AGR liability of nearly Rs 80,000 crore. A November 3 Supreme Court order clarified that the company had sought relief on both counts, and the government is free to decide on either or both aspects.

Yunus rule marked by rehabilitation of Jamaat Institutional capture by radicals and attacks on minorities: Report

The Economic Times | English | News | Dec. 3, 2025 | Communal and Religious Strife

Since August 2024, under the interim government led by Professor Muhammad Yunus, Bangladesh has experienced a significant resurgence of Islamist extremism and radicalization. The government lifted the ban on Jamaat-e-Islami (JeI) and its student wing, Islami Chhatra Shibir, both of which have historical ties to violence and opposition to Bangladesh’s independence. This rehabilitation has facilitated deeper connections between JeI and Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), heightening concerns over regional security.

A report by the Canada-based Global Centre for Democratic Governance highlights widespread mobilization by banned extremist groups such as Hizb-ut-Tahrir-Bangladesh (HTB) and Jamaat-e-Islami through rallies, recruitment drives, and digital propaganda. Universities have become key nodes for radical recruitment, with extremist groups organizing forums and distributing religious literature promoting caliphate ideals. The report also notes ideological infiltration into state institutions via appointments of individuals with Islamist sympathies and legal actions targeting secular civil and military officials.

Since the regime change, violence and discrimination against religious minorities, including Hindus, Christians, Buddhists, Ahmadis, and indigenous communities, have sharply increased. Civic freedoms have diminished as journalists, writers, and human rights defenders face harassment, surveillance, and legal challenges for opposing religious conservatism. Local administrations have largely allowed the expansion of radical influence due to passive compliance and fear of political repercussions, exacerbating institutional weakening and security challenges.

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