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Reinstatement of GRAP-IV as Air Quality in Delhi-NCR Returns to Severe Levels
Jan. 19, 2026 | Environment

Delhi and its National Capital Region face a severe air pollution crisis that has prompted the reinstatement of emergency measures.

**The Commission for Air Quality Management reinstated Graded Response Action Plan Stage IV across Delhi and the NCR on January 17, 2026, after air quality dipped back into the ‘severe’ category.**
Authorities had applied Stage III for just one day before escalating restrictions, marking the first return to Stage IV in the new year after lifting it in late December 2025, amid several months of persistently high pollution levels.

**GRAP defines four stages by Air Quality Index ranges: Stage I for ‘poor’ air (201–300 AQI), Stage II for ‘very poor’ (301–400), Stage III for ‘severe’ (401–450), and Stage IV for ‘severe+’ when AQI exceeds 450.**
The revised GRAP issued on November 21, 2025, mandates that all measures from earlier stages stay in effect once a higher stage is declared.

**Under Stage IV, authorities restrict private vehicle movement according to emission standards rather than imposing a full ban.**
Only vehicles that meet prescribed emission benchmarks may operate; BS-III petrol and BS-IV diesel vehicles must remain off the road except for emergency services and essential-goods transport. All Delhi fuel stations must verify valid Pollution Under Control Certificates—either through physical documents or electronic systems such as VAHAN—before dispensing petrol, diesel, or CNG, and drivers face penalties for refueling without a current PUCC, though emergency and essential-service vehicles are exempt.

**The order extends to out-of-state vehicles: any non-Delhi vehicle that fails to meet BS-VI norms may not enter city limits unless it runs on CNG or electricity, serves public transport, or carries essential goods or services.**
Trucks carrying construction materials—sand, bricks, cement, debris—are strictly barred from Delhi and may be penalized or have their vehicles seized if they attempt entry.

**A western disturbance, weak winds, a stable atmospheric layer and poor pollutant dispersion combined to drive the recent air quality decline.**
A concurrent cold wave has brought overnight lows below 5 °C at several sites—including 4.4 °C at Safdarjung and 4.9 °C at Ayanagar—while the India Meteorological Department issued a red alert for dense fog across most of Delhi until 8:15 AM and forecast foggy conditions over northwest India and Bihar for three to four days. Visibility at Indira Gandhi International Airport dropped to 350 metres, raising the prospect of flight delays, and Skymet Weather predicted light winter rainfall with temperatures gradually rebounding through January 20.

**Over the latest 24 hours, Delhi recorded an average AQI of 437 (‘severe’), with 31 of 37 monitoring stations reporting severe-level readings.**
Anand Vihar registered the highest figure at 489 (‘severe+’), while Ashok Vihar (463), Bawana (467), Chandni Chowk (464) and Punjabi Bagh (476) all fell into the severe range. Morning measurements on January 18 showed an AQI of 439 at 7 a.m., up from 432 at 10 p.m. the previous evening, leaving conditions hazardous for children, the elderly and anyone with respiratory or cardiovascular conditions.
Standoff Deepens Over Detention of Indian Crew Aboard MT Valiant Roar in Iran
Jan. 19, 2026 | Geopolitics & Defense

Tensions are rising between India and Iran over access to 16 Indian seafarers detained aboard the MT Valiant Roar since December 8, 2025.

**On January 17, 2026, the Indian Embassy in Tehran formally asked Iranian authorities to grant consular access to the crew intercepted near Dibba port off Dubai in international waters.**
Despite repeated diplomatic notes and high-level engagements, Iran has refused to allow Indian officials to visit the detained seafarers or facilitate their communication with families.

**Initial outreach began on December 14, 2025, through the Indian Consulate in Bandar Abbas.**
The embassy then enlisted the Indian Ambassador in Tehran and coordinated with Glory International FZ LLC / Prime Tankers LLC, the vessel’s UAE-based owner. It has dispatched official correspondence and held direct talks with Iranian naval and port authorities, yet the detainees remain beyond consular reach.

**To address immediate welfare concerns, the embassy arranged emergency shipments of food, water, and fuel to the MT Valiant Roar, coordinating with elements of the Iranian navy and local maritime agents.**
Meanwhile, the ship-owner’s Iran-based agents are working to secure legal representation for the crew in the upcoming Iranian judicial proceedings.

**Family members have petitioned the Delhi High Court, urging the government to secure consular access, expedite investigations, and facilitate repatriation of the seafarers.**
On January 16, 2026, the court issued a notice to the Union government and scheduled a hearing for January 21. Individual appeals, including one from the family of Third Engineer Ketan Mehta, have reached Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

**Iranian authorities accuse the MT Valiant Roar’s crew of smuggling roughly 6,000 metric tonnes of diesel, whereas the vessel’s documentation lists Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (VLSFO) as its cargo.**
Iranian courts will now adjudicate these smuggling allegations.

**Indian officials continue to press for timely consular access, swift judicial resolution, and the protection of the detained crew’s rights and welfare throughout ongoing diplomatic and legal efforts.**

Monitored Intelligence for India - Jan. 19, 2026


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Mother of all trade deals is loading: What it means for India

The Economic Times | English | News | Jan. 19, 2026 | UndeterminedTrade Issues and Numbers

India is set to host the European Union’s top leaders on January 27 for the 16th India–EU Summit, where the long-pending India–EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA), officially called the Broad-based Trade and Investment Agreement (BTIA), may be finalized. The deal, described by Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal as the “mother of all deals,” would link two major democratic economies and create a combined market of nearly two billion people, marking a significant shift in global trade relations amid rising protectionism.

The FTA negotiations began in 2007 but stalled in 2013 over disagreements on tariffs, intellectual property rights, labor and environmental standards, and market access. Talks resumed vigorously after 2020 due to pandemic-related supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Since June 2022, discussions have expanded to encompass an investment protection pact and agreements on geographical indications, with most issues reportedly close to resolution as of early 2026.

The timing of the agreement is strategic, given rising US tariffs up to 50 percent on Indian exports and stalled US-India trade talks. The EU, India’s largest trading partner, accounts for about 17 percent of its exports and 9 percent of the EU’s overseas shipments. The FTA would help both reduce dependence on single markets like the US and China, and align with the EU’s broader efforts to deepen ties with emerging economies.

Core challenges remain around market access, particularly India’s high tariffs on automobiles and steel, and the EU’s demands for easier entry for its carmakers. India is firm on protecting its agriculture and dairy sectors, though some limited inclusion of agricultural products may be negotiated. The FTA is expected to benefit Indian exports of textiles, pharmaceuticals, leather, and services like IT and telecommunications by lowering tariffs and recognizing standards.

For the EU, the deal opens India’s large and relatively protected consumer market, potentially boosting sales of aircraft parts, electrical machinery, chemicals, and wines and spirits. The agreement is also likely to enhance two-way investments, with the EU already a significant investor in India, especially in manufacturing, renewable energy, and digital infrastructure, while Indian firms seek better access and predictability in European markets.

Sustainability remains a sensitive topic, as the EU demands adherence to labor and environmental standards, including climate commitments under the Paris Agreement, which must be aligned with India’s development priorities. If concluded, the India–EU FTA would set a precedent for large economies forging comprehensive agreements despite global trade tensions, potentially reshaping trade flows and cooperation on digital trade, investment protection, and green growth.

Chess star Vidit Gujrathi questions ‘no one cares' attitude as Delhi air turns toxic

Livemint | English | News | Jan. 19, 2026 | Pollution

Indian chess grandmaster Vidit Gujrathi has publicly criticized the normalization of Delhi’s worsening air pollution, highlighting the severe health risks posed by prolonged exposure to toxic air. He shared a screenshot showing Delhi’s Air Quality Index (AQI) reaching a hazardous level of 598, emphasizing that solving the pollution crisis should be a top priority as residents are "slowly being poisoned."

The post garnered significant online attention, with many users expressing frustration and exhaustion over the recurring nature of the problem. Some noted that similar pollution issues affect other cities like Bangalore, while others pointed out that the worsening air quality has been an ongoing issue since 2001, suggesting that solutions will take years to materialize due to long-standing challenges.

Delhi’s air pollution remains dangerously high, with the Central Pollution Control Board recording an AQI of 376 at 9 am on Saturday, categorized as ‘very poor,’ and predicting a further rise into the ‘severe’ category over the weekend. The outlook for the following week shows little improvement. Despite annual public outrage and temporary emergency measures, long-term effective action continues to be uncertain.

Treaties should be driven by national interest, not pressure from foreign govts or corporations: Supreme Court

The Hindu | English | News | Jan. 19, 2026 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

The Supreme Court of India emphasized that treaties must be guided by national interest rather than pressure from foreign governments or corporations, underscoring the necessity to protect India's tax sovereignty, ensure fairness, and prevent misuse in international tax agreements. Justice J.B. Pardiwala, in a concurring opinion, upheld the taxability in India of capital gains arising from the 2018 exit of U.S.-based investor Tiger Global from Flipkart.

Justice Pardiwala outlined principles for India's approach to international tax treaties, advocating for transparency, periodic reviews, strong renegotiation and exit clauses, and explicit carve-outs safeguarding India's sovereign right to tax. The court prescribed safeguards to maintain economic sovereignty, prevent erosion of the tax base, and protect democratic control.

The suggested safeguards include incorporating limitation of benefits clauses to prevent treaty abuse by shell companies and allowing domestic anti-avoidance measures such as the General Anti-Avoidance Rule to apply alongside tax treaties. Overall, treaties should prioritize broader economic and public interests instead of mere bureaucratic or diplomatic considerations.

The case relates to Tiger Global's 2018 exit from Flipkart coinciding with Walmart's acquisition of a controlling stake, where Tiger Global sought an Advance Authority Ruling from the Indian Income Tax Department in 2019 regarding the tax implications.

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