India

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Operation Sindoor air campaign, aircraft losses, and escalating political scrutiny
July 1, 2025 | Geopolitics & Defense

Operation Sindoor represented India’s four-day campaign of air, missile, drone, and artillery strikes launched on May 7, 2025, to dismantle terrorist infrastructure in response to the Pahalgam terror attack, while avoiding escalation into a broader conflict with Pakistan’s military.

**On the first day, Indian aircrews suffered losses after civilian leadership barred strikes on Pakistani military bases and air defense systems, limiting targets to terrorist camps.**
Captain Shiv Kumar, India’s defence attaché to Indonesia, said those political constraints contributed to early aircraft losses, though he rejected higher reports of five jets downed. In response, Indian forces revised their tactics to suppress enemy air defenses before engaging hardened positions.

**Once the revised approach was in place, the Indian Air Force deployed BrahMos missiles and other precision munitions to neutralize Pakistani air defense assets.**
By May 8–10, India had established air superiority, with Pakistan reportedly losing six fighter jets, two AWACS aircraft, and one military transport plane. India confirmed the loss of three Rafale fighters, attributing part of those casualties to a temporary disconnection of airborne early warning and control systems.

**The Indian Embassy in Jakarta later clarified that Captain Kumar’s comments were taken out of context and misrepresented the principle of civilian oversight governing all military operations.**
The embassy reiterated that the operation remained strictly counter-terrorist and non-escalatory, and emphasized that India’s armed forces operate under civilian political control. The government has not officially disclosed the precise number of aircraft lost.

**Chief of Defence Staff General Anil Chauhan acknowledged that initial tactical errors led to aircraft losses but stressed that India swiftly corrected those mistakes.**
He added that subsequent deep-penetration precision strikes achieved mission objectives and significantly degraded terrorist capabilities.

**Political opposition, led by the Congress party, seized on Captain Kumar’s remarks to question the government’s transparency.**
On June 29, Congress leaders Jairam Ramesh and Pawan Khera accused the ruling party of misleading the nation and demanded a special parliamentary session presided over by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. They argued that recent admissions by senior defence officials warranted a full, all-party briefing, a request the government has so far declined.

**Pakistan launched its own eight-hour retaliation, Operation Bunyan-ul-Mursoos, aiming to weaken Indian defenses but ultimately falling short of Islamabad’s objectives.**
Pakistani authorities claimed to have shot down six Indian aircraft—including three Rafales—a claim Indian military officials flatly rejected while reaffirming their success in disrupting terrorist networks and retaining the strategic initiative.
Severe Monsoon Rains Trigger Alerts, Disruptions, and Flood Risks in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand
July 1, 2025 | Environment

Heavy southwest monsoon rains have prompted widespread weather alerts and disruptions across Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.


The India Meteorological Department has issued red alerts in ten districts of Himachal Pradesh—Bilaspur, Hamirpur, Kangra, Mandi, Shimla, Solan, Sirmaur, Una, Kullu, and Chamba—and in Uttarkhand’s Uttarkashi, Rudraprayag, and Dehradun districts, with orange alerts covering additional areas. Under red alerts, the IMD warns of extremely heavy rainfall exceeding 204.5 mm in 24 hours; orange alerts indicate heavy to very heavy downpours. Authorities caution that these conditions carry high risks of landslides, flash floods, infrastructure damage, and disruptions to essential services.

**In Himachal Pradesh, overnight downpours caused boulders and uprooted trees to block the Shimla–Kalka rail line near Solan’s Koti area, forcing suspension of train services.**
A landslide on National Highway 5 between Shimla and Chandigarh damaged the roadway and triggered a two- to three-kilometre traffic jam until police cleared the debris. The alternate Jangeshu road also lay blocked under mud and rocks. Meanwhile, a bridge near Barotiwala washed away, and several rural roads in Solan district closed after being washed out.

**Rising rivers have aggravated the situation: the Bald River in Baddi overflowed into Shivalik Nagar, flooding over 20 houses with up to four feet of water.**
Authorities opened the spillway gates at Pandoh Dam, elevating Beas River levels and prompting the temporary closure of the Baggi tunnel and suspension of power generation at the Dehar Power House. Officials have advised residents in low-lying and riverside areas to steer clear of riverbanks as currents grow stronger.

**Since the monsoon onset on June 20, heavy rains have claimed approximately 20 lives in Himachal Pradesh, with four people still missing.**
The IMD has issued flash flood risk warnings for vulnerable districts through June 30, cautioning against waterlogging, structural damage, and disruptions to transportation and power supplies.

**In Uttarakhand, landslides and road closures have hindered movement across key routes.**
A cloudburst triggered a landslide on the Yamunotri National Highway in Uttarkashi, burying part of the road and killing two laborers at a nearby construction site. Search operations continue for missing individuals, and authorities have urged communities in landslide- and flood-prone areas to stay alert and prepare for possible evacuations.

**The IMD forecasts continued heavy to very heavy rainfall across both states through July 5, with a brief reprieve expected on July 1 in Uttarakhand before downpours resume.**
Flash flood risks remain elevated in several Himachal Pradesh districts until June 30. Under red alerts, rainfall may exceed 204.5 mm within 24 hours; orange alerts signal significant but lesser amounts. Both alert levels carry potential for severe impacts on life, property, transportation networks, and power grids.

Monitored Intelligence for India - July 2, 2025


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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

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We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.

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One year on, how three new laws transformed legal system

Hindustan Times | English | News | July 2, 2025 | Regulation

On July 1, 2024, India implemented three new criminal laws—Bharatiya Nyaya Sanhita (BNS), Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita (BNSS), and Bharatiya Saksha Adhiniyam (BSA)—replacing the British-era Indian Penal Code, Criminal Procedure Code, and Indian Evidence Act after more than 150 years. These laws introduced significant reforms such as allowing complaints to be filed anywhere, online complaint registration, electronic summons, mandatory videography of crime scenes for serious crimes, harsher punishments for gang rape including death penalty for victims under 12, recognition of new crimes like mob lynching, and trial in absentia for fugitive criminals. Several archaic provisions, including those criminalizing homosexuality, adultery, attempt to commit suicide, and sedition, have been repealed.

In the first year, police registered around 3.5 million FIRs under the BNS, close to pre-implementation levels, although data from some states and union territories remain unavailable. The Ministry of Home Affairs reported substantial training efforts, with over 860,000 police officers and thousands of prison, prosecution, forensic, and judicial officers trained nationwide. To support forensic evidence collection, 2,649 forensic professionals were hired on contract to supplement the existing 4,734 filled positions out of 10,565 sanctioned posts in state forensic science laboratories (FSLs). Central government funding exceeding 600 crore INR has been allocated for upgrading forensic capabilities, mobile forensic vans, and DNA analysis enhancements.

Technological advancements feature prominently in the new system, with digital evidence storage via platforms like DigiLocker and e-Sakshya rules notified in 11 states and UTs. Chandigarh police, the first to fully implement the new processes, reported a 91.1% conviction rate with swift and secure handling of cases leveraging digital tools that facilitate virtual proceedings and secure chain of custody via QR codes. Despite progress, infrastructure gaps remain a challenge in many regions, particularly outside Tier 1 cities, potentially delaying full nationwide implementation for another one to two years. Officials and legal experts emphasize the need for continued development of technical infrastructure to fully realize the reforms introduced by these new laws.

Corporate Laws News

S.S. Rana & Co. | English | AcademicThink | July 2, 2025 | UndeterminedLegal Exposure

Several significant developments in corporate laws and intellectual property were noted throughout 2024 and 2025. Kazakhstan now requires an individual fee under the Madrid Protocol as of June 12, 2025. The Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT-In) issued an advisory against the use of AI models on April 4, 2025. The Indian Patent Office (CGPDTM) headquarters was relocated from Mumbai to New Delhi on March 3, 2025.

Draft rules and initiatives include the "One Nation, One Time" Draft Legal Metrology (IST) Rules announced on January 29, 2025, and the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) announced the creation of 200 technical posts to strengthen intellectual property rights on January 20, 2025. The Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY) introduced Draft Digital Personal Data Protection Rules, 2025, for public consultation on January 6, 2025.

Additional updates include the scheduled launch of EUIPO SME Funds in February 2025, a US patent office (USPTO) trademark fee increase effective January 2025 with a prior filing discount, and Myanmar issuing its first batch of trademark registration certificates in December 2024. The CGPDTM also introduced new miscellaneous trademark forms in late November 2024. There have been ongoing concerns about IP application fraud and the impact of delays in releasing the Digital Personal Data Protection Rules on business operations.

Sona Comstar goes local, set to produce rare earth magnets in India for EVs to cut reliance on China: Details here

Livemint | English | News | July 2, 2025 | UndeterminedSupply Chain Issues

Sona Comstar, India's largest importer of rare earth magnets, is set to begin domestic production of these components used in electric vehicles (EVs). This initiative supports India's government push to boost local manufacturing and reduce dependence on China, which currently controls about 90% of the global rare earth magnet supply. Recent Chinese export restrictions triggered by US tariffs have intensified the search for alternative sources worldwide.

India, with the world's third-largest car market and fifth-largest rare earth reserves, is launching a program to incentivize local magnet production. Sona Comstar, based in Gurgaon, is the first Indian company to announce plans following this government initiative. The company imported roughly 120 metric tonnes of magnets from China last financial year and plans to ramp up local production to reduce reliance on imports, particularly given its significant revenue growth to over $400 million in the past five years.

While mining and processing rare earths domestically will take years, starting local magnet manufacturing is seen as an immediate step. Sona Comstar supplies major automakers like Tesla and Stellantis and had planned to import 200 tonnes of magnets this year to meet growing EV demand, which accounts for about one-third of its revenue. The company's revenue is geographically diverse, with 40% from the US, followed by India and Europe, and aims to expand into China, Japan, and South Korea.

The company recently faced uncertainty after the sudden death of Chairman Sunjay Kapur in June, which affected its stock price. Jeffrey Mark Overly has been appointed as the new chairman, with CEO Vivek Vikram Singh emphasizing the strength of the professional management team and affirming that the company's strategic direction will continue unchanged.

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