Vietnam

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Escalating Abuse and Demand Challenge Vietnam’s Social Housing Expansion
Nov. 10, 2025 | Infrastructure & Urbanization

Vietnam’s social housing sector faces significant challenges in ensuring fair access, maintaining transparency, and meeting ambitious construction targets.

**Minister Trần Hồng Minh reported widespread abuse in the social housing market, where individuals reserve purchase spots only to resell them at markups of 200–500 million VND.**
To address these issues, the Ministry of Construction has drafted a government directive to increase transparency in approval processes for buying, selling, and renting social housing, and it has instructed local authorities to detect and eliminate such malpractices swiftly.

**Demand for social housing remains exceptionally high: prospective buyers queue overnight to register for limited units.**
Low-income workers struggle with complex application procedures and slow approval timelines, and some ineligible applicants exploit loopholes to secure housing. Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính has called for simplified purchase procedures and digital monitoring tools to prevent regulatory circumvention. The government expects to issue a new resolution on social housing soon.

**Vietnam’s legal framework for social housing is comprehensive.**
The Ministry of Construction plans to submit two draft decrees—one to establish the National Housing Fund and another on real estate market management. Under the national plan, authorities aim to build at least one million social housing units between 2021 and 2030, including over 100,000 units by the end of 2025. Currently, developers are working on 696 social housing projects totaling around 640,000 apartments, with approximately 89,000 units slated for completion by year-end.

**Minister Trần Hồng Minh said these targets are achievable, citing Hanoi’s approval of 30 social housing projects averaging 500 units each as a positive model.**
He added that accelerated progress in other regions could help meet the national goal and alleviate broader real estate price pressures. At the same time, the Ministry of Construction is working with local governments to finalize resettlement procedures for the Lào Cai–Hanoi–Haiphong railway project before its December 19 launch, ensuring displaced residents have completed housing arrangements.
Fraud Scandal Disrupts Vietnam’s Durian Exports to China
Nov. 10, 2025 | Firms

Vietnam’s durian export industry has come under scrutiny following revelations of a sophisticated fraud operation affecting shipments to China.

**Seventeen individuals now face formal indictments for orchestrating a widespread scheme that funneled noncompliant durians into the Chinese market under false pretenses.**
After a prolonged investigation by the Ministry of Public Security, authorities charged executives and staff from the Center for Testing, Verification, and Quality Services (Retaq), NhoNho Technology Co., Ltd., Thuy Fruits Co., Ltd., and several business leaders with bribery, document falsification and abuse of authority.

**Investigators found that the network manipulated approved planting area codes, forged quality certification documents and contracts, and used counterfeit official stamps and signatures.**
They uncovered serious accounting irregularities and traced contaminated or uncertified durians through official channels. Despite repeated warnings from government bodies and the industry association Vinafruit, these illicit practices persisted, driven by the rapid growth and high value of durian exports.

**Vietnam’s durian trade has surged since Beijing granted export permission: revenues reached USD 3.2 billion in 2024 and USD 2.77 billion in the first nine months of 2025.**
More than 93 percent of these exports head to China, where regulations demand that shipments originate from approved orchards, certified packing facilities and laboratories equipped to test for contaminants. Once Chinese authorities uncovered the fraud, they revoked hundreds of planting area codes and suspended accredited testing labs, stranding thousands of containers at border gates and inflicting heavy financial losses on legitimate exporters.

**In response to the disruptions and reputational damage, the Prime Minister ordered rapid investigations with clearly assigned accountability.**
The recent indictments demonstrate a tougher stance against agricultural corruption. Authorities have broadened their inquiries to identify additional participants and are pursuing legal measures to restore confidence in Vietnam’s durian export sector and ensure future shipments comply with bilateral regulations.

Monitored Intelligence for Vietnam - Nov. 10, 2025


News
Media
91

Government
Releases
21

City/State
Releases
0

Embassy
Releases
0
Foreign
Service
Advisories
0
Academic/
Think
Tank
0


Podcasts
0


Videos
0

Social
Media
0

Business
Releases
2

Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.

Risk Categories Reported on Today

Risk Category
Items Reported On
Natural Disasters
2
Pollution
1
IP Protection
3
Extreme Weather Events
8
Critical Infrastructure Failure
3
Accidents
4
Corporate Corruption or Fraud
2
Privacy
1
Cyber Attacks and Data Loss
1
Regulation
1
Climate Change
1
Supply Chain Issues
1

Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.

We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.

Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.

Operations Categories Reported on Today

Operations Category
Items Reported On
Real Estate
3
Economic Growth
6
Trade Issues and Numbers
2
Asset Price Change
2
Demographics
2
Budgets-Budgeting
1
Tech Development/Adoption
4
Taxes
2
Employment
1

Biến đổi khí hậu 'nuôi' siêu bão thế nào?

How does climate change fuel superstorms?

VN Express | Local Language | News | Nov. 10, 2025 | Climate Change

Storms form when ocean surface temperatures reach 27°C, creating conditions for warm, moist air to rise and generate rotating winds. Due to climate change, ocean surfaces are warming, leading to a rise in the intensity of storms over the past four decades. Recently, the South China Sea experienced multiple severe storms including Matmo, Fengshen, and Kalmaegi, with Kalmaegi causing fatalities and extensive damage in Vietnam and the Philippines. Another super typhoon, Phượng Hoàng, is currently forming and expected to enter the region soon.

Scientists note that while climate change does not increase the number of storms, it intensifies them by warming ocean surfaces and the atmosphere, resulting in stronger winds, heavier rainfall, and greater coastal flooding risks. Superstorms with wind speeds exceeding 184 km/h are becoming more frequent, and some storms now exceed the highest current classifications like the Saffir-Simpson scale. For example, Superstorm Melissa intensified rapidly over unusually warm waters and caused severe economic losses in Jamaica.

Research indicates that since 2019, maximum storm wind speeds have increased by around 30 km/h on average due to ocean warming. Additionally, a warmer atmosphere holds more moisture, causing heavier rainfall, and sea-level rise worsens storm surges. The IPCC reports that the proportion of storms reaching category three or higher has increased over the last forty years, affecting new geographic areas and communities less prepared for such threats. Calls are rising to update storm classification systems to reflect more intense storm conditions.

In Vietnam, projections indicate an increase in strong to very strong storms and more frequent heavy rainfall episodes by the end of the century. Climate change poses a significant economic risk, with potential GDP losses up to 4.5% if temperatures rise by 1.5°C without effective adaptation measures.

Hanoi's drainage system outdated, can only handle 310mm rain over 2 days

Vietnam Net - E | English | News | Nov. 10, 2025 | Critical Infrastructure Failure

The Ministry of Construction (MOC) responded to inquiries about urban flooding in Hanoi, citing multiple causes including natural conditions, climate change, sea level rise, outdated planning, inadequate drainage infrastructure, and insufficient investment. Hanoi’s drainage system, designed in 2013 to handle 310mm of rain over two days, was overwhelmed during recent storms, which delivered up to 500mm in less than a day, resulting in severe flooding. The system’s capacity has not kept pace with rapid urbanization, with many drainage networks over 50 years old and combining rainwater and wastewater into a single system, creating uneven drainage capacity.

Vietnam currently has about 900 urban areas, more than ten times the number in 1998, but urban drainage pipes per capita remain at 0.7m/person, only one-third of the global average. Urban expansion has also reduced natural water absorption areas, worsening flood risk. Only six centrally-run cities have specialized drainage planning, and most plans do not incorporate recent climate change data or urban growth. Investment in drainage infrastructure is insufficient, with state funding covering only 60% of needs and almost no public-private partnership projects in this sector.

To address flooding, MOC recommends short-term measures such as clearing drains, dredging waterways, repairing pipelines, operating pumping stations flexibly, and protecting lakes and wetlands from being filled. Long-term strategies include integrating drainage with land use and transportation planning, enhancing system capacity, prioritizing public investment, constructing regulating works, and enforcing construction compliance. The ministry also calls for promoting non-structural solutions like increasing water storage and reducing concrete surfaces, as well as applying information technology for smart drainage management and early warning systems. MOC is preparing a draft Law on Water Supply and Drainage for government review in 2026 and National Assembly consideration in 2027, alongside revisions to related drainage regulations.

Thời tiết bất lợi tác động mạnh đến tiến độ giải ngân

Adverse Weather Strongly Affects Disbursement Progress

Bao Dien Tu | Local Language | News | Nov. 10, 2025 | Extreme Weather Events

The Government targets an 8.3–8.5% growth in 2025, relying on the full disbursement of the public investment plan, which totals VND 1,060,631.4 billion including central and local budgets. As of October 23, 2025, VND 464,828 billion has been disbursed, representing 51.7% of the plan, with several ministries and localities lagging behind the national average.

Several bottlenecks hinder disbursement progress, including understaffing in new or merged communes, inconsistent land price tables, and delays in land clearance and compensation agreements. Policy and regulatory adjustments have lagged behind emerging challenges, while cumbersome procedures affect ODA-funded projects. Additionally, organizational weaknesses such as poor coordination and lack of decisiveness among project managers contribute to delays. Adverse weather, including four storms in September, notably Storm No. 10, has caused significant damage that stalled key transport projects.

To meet the 100% disbursement target, the Government demands coordinated and decisive action from all levels. Ministries and localities must enforce government directives, assume responsibility for progress, and adopt best practices from high-performing units. Weekly monitoring and flexible reallocation of funds are emphasized to prevent year-end bottlenecks. Strengthening local government capacity, particularly in land clearance and project management, is critical, alongside timely policy revisions to resolve implementation obstacles and support national and local project execution.

Try the Daily Briefing for your country of choice for two weeks--free of charge and with no obligation.

Have a service or subscription question? We'd be happy to hear from you.

How can we help?
Full Name:
Email Address:
Type of Inquiry:
Country of Interest:

Contact us for a free trial of the Daily Briefing for your country of choice.


We currently cover:
South Korea
Japan
China
Taiwan
Vietnam
India

info@eruditerisk.com

The Daily Briefing is delivered Monday through Thursday via email.

Each day's reports include a combination of:

Takes
Takes are our deep dives into a topic of enduring interest or concern. Takes include copious references to all the media resources we gathered to build them.

Developments
Developments are key issues and incidents being heavily reported on in country. These are the centers of local thought gravity around which everything else revolves.

Risk Media
Summaries and analysis of the most important risk issues reported on in media, arranged by risk category. Learn about risk trends and issues while they are developing--before they blow up.

Ops Media
Summaries and analysis of the most important operational issues reported on in media, arranged by operations category. See what's changing in your market, and what's not.

Government Releases
Government press and data releases on key economic data, regulation, law, intiatives, incidents. Straight from the government's press to your eyes in less than a day.

Embassy and Business Association Releases
Statements and news releases from foreign embassies and business/industry associations, including chambers of commerce.

The Daily Briefing is comprehensive!

The Daily Briefing can run 50-100 pages each day!

Luckily, Erudite Risk tailors every report specifically to you.

Content Filtering
We try hard to ensure that every piece of information included in each day's reports will be of interest to our readers.

To fulfill our goal of comprehensively monitoring the intelligence landscape and also keeping reports readable, we build big reports--then deliver only the information that applies to you.

Each Daily Briefing is a bespoke report matched to your concerns. Tell us what you want in it, or we can match it to your professional needs. It's that easy.