Vietnam

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Diverging Fortunes Reshape Vietnam’s Real Estate Sector in 2025
Nov. 13, 2025 | Firms

Vietnam’s real estate sector in the first three quarters of 2025 reveals a stark divide between heavily indebted loss-makers and profit-driven developers.

**As financial results emerged, DRH Holdings JSC extended its loss streak to ten quarters, posting a net loss of nearly VND26 billion in Q3 and accumulating roughly VND157 billion in losses over nine months.**
Novaland (NVL) reported its fourth straight quarterly loss—VND878 billion in Q3—despite generating VND5.4 trillion in net revenue, and its outstanding debt climbed to VND64.3 trillion, surpassing 25 percent of its assets. Vinahud JSC (VHD) saw revenue plunge by more than 85 percent, driving a nine-month loss of nearly VND80 billion.

**Regulatory scrutiny has deepened pressures on some developers.**
The State Securities Commission fined Sonadezi Chau Duc JSC (SZC) VND507.5 million for failing to disclose mandatory information and misusing VND67.4 billion from its 2024 share issuance to finance projects and repay loans without shareholder approval. Authorities instructed SZC to secure shareholder consent at its next general meeting before reallocating capital.

**In contrast, Vinhomes JSC (VHM) posted a consolidated after-tax profit of more than VND15.3 trillion in the latest quarter.**
Contracted sales nearly doubled year-on-year to over VND162 trillion in the first nine months, and unrecognized contracted sales reached a record VND224 trillion, driven by the Vinhomes Green Paradise project. Phat Dat Corporation (PDR) also recorded rising revenue and net profit in Q3, with property transfers contributing net gains equal to 29 percent of its full-year target over nine months.

**Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG) posted a modest profit in Q3 while reducing debt by repaying VND900 billion on a residential project, although its balance sheet shows increased personal loans extended by executives’ relatives.**
Thuduc House JSC (TDH) delivered its highest quarterly net profit in nearly four years—VND84 billion—largely from other income after winning a tax lawsuit.

**These results mark a divided industry landscape, where some companies struggle under heavy debt loads, sustained losses, and regulatory penalties, while others drive profitability through strong sales, legal victories, and high-margin projects.**
Vietnam’s Shift to Premium Branded Rice Exports Gains Global Recognition
Nov. 13, 2025 | Firms

Vietnam’s rice sector has transformed from mass bulk exports into a premium, branded market that garners international acclaim and higher returns.

**This transformation began with the ST25 rice variety, which won “World’s Best Rice” titles in 2019, 2023 and 2025 at the Global Rice Trade Conference in Phnom Penh alongside Cambodia’s Phka Romdoul rice.**
International acclaim for ST25—renowned for its long, translucent kernels, pandan aroma and flavor retention when cooled—catapulted Vietnam from low-cost bulk shipments to premium, branded exports.

**The repeated success of ST25 demonstrated the variety’s superior grain quality and elevated Vietnam’s status in the premium rice market.**
Between 2019 and 2024, Vietnam boosted its premium rice export share from 15–18% to over 35%, and fragrant and specialty rice shipments more than doubled, surpassing 3 million tons.

**Average export prices climbed from roughly USD 435 per ton in 2019 to over USD 640 per ton in 2024, a 15-year high, pushing total rice export turnover to a record USD 4.78 billion.**
Premium varieties like ST25 now fetch between USD 700 and 1,000 per ton, allowing Vietnam to compete directly with established exporters such as Thailand in discerning markets.

**To support this premiumization, the government introduced the 2023 Strategy for Developing the Vietnam Rice Brand to 2030.**
This strategy protects the ST25 trademark internationally, builds a cohesive national “Vietnam Rice” brand and promotes high-quality production practices across the value chain, from cultivation and processing to branding and market distribution.

**In response to market demands and regulatory standards, farmers and enterprises have adopted quality assurance systems such as VietGAP and GlobalGAP, along with emission-reduction production models.**
Major agricultural companies have launched dedicated ST25 and ST24 product lines tailored to stringent export destinations, including the United States, European Union, Japan, South Korea, the Middle East and Singapore, and now feature branded rice in international retail outlets instead of anonymous bulk packaging.

**The Ministry of Agriculture and Environment is expanding high-quality cultivation areas for ST24 and ST25 using linked-chain production models that emphasize environmental sustainability, traceability and emission reduction, aiming to establish an integrated, high-end rice value chain that ensures consistent product quality from the paddy field to consumers.**

Monitored Intelligence for Vietnam - Nov. 14, 2025


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Research and Clarification of the Functions and Duties of the Center for Prevention of International Investment Disputes

Bao Dien Tu | Local Language | News | Nov. 14, 2025 | UndeterminedLegal Exposure

The Ministry of Justice is in the process of finalizing a Proposal to establish the Center for Prevention and Resolution of International Investment Disputes. The Proposal aims to create a specialized agency focused on preventing and resolving disputes related to foreign investment by concentrating human and material resources. It includes defining the necessity, objectives, guiding principles, scope, and a suggested model for the Center.

Deputy Prime Minister Hồ Quốc Dũng emphasized that the Center's core function should be proactive prevention rather than merely handling disputes after they arise. Preventive measures include guiding and strengthening oversight of investment processes, ensuring strict procedures and legal compliance across ministries and localities, providing early legal support during project appraisal and operation, and developing an early warning system to identify potential risks that could lead to disputes.

The Deputy Prime Minister called for urgent and comprehensive completion of the draft Proposal, urging all relevant units to clarify key contents and submit the final document to the Government without delay.

'GDP phải tăng ít nhất 5 lần trong 20 năm tới để đạt mục tiêu năm 2045'

GDP must increase at least fivefold in the next 20 years to achieve the 2045 target

VN Express | Local Language | News | Nov. 14, 2025 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth

On November 12, Minister Nguyen Manh Hung outlined Vietnam's development strategy centered on science, technology, innovation, and digital transformation as key drivers to achieve the 2045 goal of becoming a developed, high-income country. He emphasized that past reliance on agriculture and low-value industrial processing must shift towards these advanced areas for sustainable growth. Drawing parallels with China, the Minister highlighted Vietnam’s unique approach combining science, technology, and innovation with digital transformation to accelerate progress.

To meet the 2045 target, Vietnam’s GDP must increase at least fivefold over the next 20 years, requiring annual growth rates of 10% for the first decade and 7% for the following ten years. This growth target is challenging and unprecedented globally. The Minister warned about the middle-income trap given that Vietnam achieved middle-income status in 2010, needing to reach high-income status within 35 years to avoid stagnation. Current investment in research and development remains low at 0.5% of GDP, and existing institutional, policy, and infrastructure constraints hinder advancement, alongside shortages in skilled human resources and cybersecurity vulnerabilities.

Resolution 57 by the Politburo was presented as a pivotal reform akin to the historic "Khoán 10" policy, designed to unleash creative power in science, technology, innovation, and digital transformation. This resolution aims to increase competitiveness and directly contribute to economic growth, labor productivity, and living standards. The Ministry plans to establish new evaluation criteria focusing on measurable impact rather than just input costs, with a priority on addressing major national challenges such as maintaining growth, mastering strategic technologies, environmental issues, and government efficiency through digital transformation.

Starting in 2026, science, technology, innovation, and digital transformation are expected to contribute over 5% to GDP growth. Innovation is projected to add 2–3%, digital transformation 1–2%, and science and technology 1%. The government has identified 11 strategic technologies, with particular focus on blockchain for capital and digital assets, robotics to boost labor productivity, and artificial intelligence to enhance knowledge. These three areas are prioritized as foundational elements driving capital, labor, and knowledge growth for Vietnam’s future development.

Vietnam proposes plan for applying auto emission standards

Vietnam News | English | News | Nov. 14, 2025 | Regulation

Vietnam's Ministry of Agriculture and Environment has proposed a roadmap to implement automobile emission standards aimed at reducing air pollution, protecting public health, and improving living conditions. The plan targets controlling vehicle emissions as a key source of environmental degradation.

Under the proposal, vehicles manufactured from 2022 must comply with Euro 4 emission standards starting January 1, 2026, and transition to Euro 5 standards by January 1, 2032. Additionally, vehicles from 2022 operating specifically in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City are required to meet Euro 5 standards by January 1, 2028.

Euro 4 standards mandate reduced permissible emission levels and cleaner exhaust gases, while Euro 5 standards enforce stricter limits, particularly for diesel vehicles, which will be required to install particulate filters to meet these regulations.

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