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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
官房長官「岩手県で停電800戸」 青森に内閣府調査チームを派遣
Chief Cabinet Secretary: 800 Households Without Power in Iwate Prefecture, Cabinet Office Investigation Team Dispatched to Aomori
Nikkei | Local Language | News | Dec. 10, 2025 | Critical Infrastructure Failure
Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara reported on the earthquake in Aomori Prefecture, which registered a seismic intensity of 6+. In response, a Cabinet Office investigation team of five members has been dispatched to Aomori to assess the damage and local response efforts. The situation at the Rokkasho nuclear facility is under confirmation, and a disaster response meeting with relevant ministries was scheduled for 3 a.m.
Damage from the earthquake includes fires and power outages primarily in Hachinohe City, with multiple emergency calls reported. Approximately 800 households in nearby Iwate Prefecture are also experiencing power outages. No information on water or communication outages was available. The public was advised to remain alert for potential aftershocks of similar intensity over the next week.
No abnormalities have been reported at the Higashidori and Onagawa nuclear power plants. Due to a tsunami warning, people were urged to evacuate immediately to higher ground or designated evacuation sites. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi emphasized timely public information, rapid damage assessment, and close coordination with local governments to prioritize life-saving and rescue operations.
気象庁会見「最悪、東日本大震災のような地震」発生確率0・1%から1%へ上昇
Meteorological Agency Press Conference: Probability of Worst-Case Earthquake Like the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake Rises from 0.1% to 1%
The Sankei News | Local Language | News | Dec. 10, 2025 | Natural Disasters
The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the Cabinet Office issued a "Hokkaido–Off Sanriku Subsequent Earthquake Advisory" for the first time following an earthquake off the coast of Aomori Prefecture on the night of December 8, 2025. The advisory warns of the increased possibility of a massive earthquake of magnitude 8 or greater occurring in the region from off Nemuro, Hokkaido, to off Sanriku within the next seven days.
JMA highlighted that the probability of such a large earthquake occurring has risen from the usual 0.01% (once in a thousand) to approximately 1% (once in a hundred) during this period. Historical examples cited include the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake, where an M7.3 earthquake was followed two days later by an M9.0 quake, and a 1963 event off Etorofu Island involving an M7.0 followed 18 hours later by an M8.5 quake.
The government urges special preparedness measures, including keeping evacuation items near the bedside, carrying emergency kits at all times, and confirming evacuation routes and family contacts. The advisory is effective until midnight on December 16, 2025, with officials emphasizing that while a major earthquake is not certain, heightened caution is advised without interrupting normal socio-economic activities.
長期金利2%に迫る 背景に日銀利上げ観測と財政悪化懸念 住宅ローン固定に影響も
Long-term interest rates approach 2% amid Bank of Japan rate hike expectations and fiscal deterioration concerns, impacting fixed-rate home loans
The Sankei News | Local Language | News | Dec. 10, 2025 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth
Long-term interest rates in Japan have surged, with the yield on newly issued 10-year government bonds reaching 1.970%, the highest in eighteen and a half years, approaching the significant 2% mark. This increase is driven by expectations of further rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and concerns about increased government bond issuance linked to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s “responsible proactive fiscal policy.”
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated the possibility of a rate increase at the upcoming monetary policy meeting scheduled for December 18-19, potentially raising the policy rate to around 0.75%. This level nears the lower bound of the BOJ’s estimated neutral interest rate range of 1.0% to 2.5%. Ueda also expressed interest in narrowing the estimate range for the neutral rate to better justify future rate decisions. Economists suggest that raising the lower bound of the neutral rate could ease explanations for continued monetary tightening.
Fiscal concerns contribute to the bond sell-off, particularly following the submission of a supplementary budget bill for fiscal 2025 that includes ¥11.7 trillion in additional government bond issuance. Despite the Prime Minister’s assurances of maintaining market credibility by lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio, market apprehension remains.
Rising long-term rates reflect increased economic activity but pose risks. A sharp rise can lead to unrealized losses on financial institutions’ assets and increase fixed mortgage rates, burdening borrowers who take out or refinance fixed-rate loans. If rates hit 2%, it will be the first such occurrence since 2006, with experts indicating a continued upward trend in long-term rates.
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