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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
UK PM Starmer likely to meet with PM Takaichi in Japan next week
NHK | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedPolitics and Elections
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to meet with Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae in Japan during the latter half of next week. This will be Starmer's first visit to Japan since taking office, with arrangements for the trip currently underway according to multiple Japanese government sources.
The leaders are anticipated to focus on enhancing cooperation in economic security and defense, including discussions on strengthening supply chains. Prior to visiting Japan, Starmer plans to travel to China. The meeting will likely include exchanges on issues related to Beijing, with Takaichi seeking Starmer's understanding of Japan's stance amid worsening Japan-China relations.
In November, Takaichi and Starmer previously met during the G20 summit in South Africa. Despite the upcoming Lower House election campaign starting next Tuesday in Japan, Takaichi intends to continue engaging in summit diplomacy during this period.
What to know about Japan political parties' pledges on zero sales tax on food, drinks
The Mainichi | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedTaxes
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced on January 19, 2026, that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party will propose eliminating the consumption tax on food and beverages for two years in the upcoming House of Representatives election campaign. This measure aims to ease the financial burden on middle- and low-income earners amid persistently high food inflation.
Takaichi plans to fund the tax cut by reallocating existing subsidies, special tax measures, and non-tax revenue rather than issuing deficit-financing bonds. She emphasized the need to consider impacts on financial markets, including interest rates, exchange rates, and local government finances. The timing of the tax cut was not discussed during the press conference despite prior speculation about a potential reduction around September.
The tax reduction is expected to cause an annual revenue loss of about 5 trillion yen ($31.6 billion), with roughly 2 trillion yen ($12.6 billion) impacting local governments. This has raised concerns about fiscal deterioration, reflected in rising government bond yields and potential yen depreciation, which could further increase inflation through higher import costs.
The opposition Centrist Reform Alliance advocates for a permanent zero consumption tax on food and beverages, making tax reduction a realistic prospect regardless of the election outcome. However, some economic officials warn that continued fiscal loosening by both major parties risks long-term fiscal collapse.
25年の貿易赤字2・6兆円 対米輸出は4・1%減
25 Years of Trade Deficit at 2.6 Trillion Yen, Exports to the U.S. Decrease by 4.1%
Tokyo Shimbun | Local Language | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedTrade Issues and Numbers
Japan recorded a trade deficit of 2.6507 trillion yen in 2025, marking the fifth consecutive year of deficit. However, the deficit decreased by 52.9% compared to the previous year. Exports to the United States declined by 4.1% to 20.414 trillion yen, the first drop in five years, largely due to high tariff measures imposed during the Trump administration. Notably, automobile exports to the U.S. fell 11.4%.
Globally, exports rose 3.1% to 110.448 trillion yen, the highest since 1979, supported by increased shipments of electronic components such as semiconductors to Asia and engines to the U.S. Imports increased slightly by 0.3% to 113.0987 trillion yen.
Other exports to the U.S. also decreased significantly, including semiconductor manufacturing equipment down 30.2% and automobile parts down 10.7%. Imports from the U.S. rose 1.6% to 12.8926 trillion yen, resulting in a U.S.-Japan trade surplus of 7.5214 trillion yen, though this surplus decreased by 12.6%.
On January 22, the yen traded in the low 158-yen-per-dollar range in the Tokyo foreign exchange market.
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