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Takaichi Dissolves Parliament, Calls First Winter Election in 36 Years Amid Shifting Political Alliances
Jan. 19, 2026 | Politics

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has dissolved the House of Representatives and set an early February election, marking the first winter vote in 36 years.

**Takaichi formalized the dissolution as the Diet session opened on January 23, aiming to leverage her 78 percent approval rating.**
She seeks to strengthen the Liberal Democratic Party by boosting its narrow coalition majority with the Japanese Innovation Party or by regaining the absolute majority it lost in the 2024 election. Her efforts to bring the opposition Democratic Party for the People into the coalition failed, leaving the LDP reliant on its current partners and the outcome of the upcoming vote.

**That approval rating reflects her economic revitalization proposals and her status as Japan’s first female prime minister.**
She has proposed broad tax cuts and substantial energy subsidies, and she has taken a firm stance against China over Taiwan that has bolstered investor confidence. The Nikkei 225 has climbed to record levels amid expectations that a Takaichi-led government will pursue proactive fiscal policies and increase public spending. Despite her personal popularity, the LDP’s overall support remains near 30 percent, hampered by scandals over illicit campaign funds and controversial ties to South Korea’s Unification Church.

**Yet Takaichi faces a significant challenge from the newly formed Centrist Reform Union, an alliance between the Constitutional Democratic Party and Komeito.**
This coalition offers a centrist alternative to her conservative agenda, opposing constitutional revisions and nuclear power while advocating expanded welfare and marriage law reforms. Komeito’s departure from the ruling coalition in October dealt a significant blow to the LDP’s electoral prospects, since their coordinated campaigns historically secured additional seats. Analysts warn that without Komeito’s organized support, the LDP may lose ground unless Takaichi attracts new voter segments.

**On the regional front in Fukuoka prefecture, party federations are already mobilizing for the House election.**
The LDP’s local chapter announced it will not field a candidate in the 9th district due to time constraints in forming a selection committee; the seat has remained vacant since a 2021 defeat and final endorsements will come from party headquarters. Meanwhile, the party plans to nominate Hiroki Abe—formerly of Nippon Ishin no Kai and now part of the LDP and Independents group—to contest the Kyushu proportional block. Prefectural chairman Matsumoto Kunihiro said any coordinated campaigns with Komeito in Fukuoka will depend on personal relationships rather than formal agreements.

**The Constitutional Democratic Party’s Fukuoka federation is also adjusting to the new landscape.**
Following its alliance with Komeito, individual candidates must decide whether to run under the new party banner or as independents, since headquarters has issued no unified directive. CDP prefectural representative Shuji Inatomi said they will explore cooperation frameworks with Komeito for the next election and criticized Takaichi’s handling of economic issues. Inatomi’s team has endorsed newcomer Tomoyuki Tsuji, a Tagawa city councilor, as its candidate for Fukuoka’s 11th district under the centrist party banner.
Japan and ASEAN Deepen Strategic AI Collaboration with Landmark Joint Statement
Jan. 19, 2026 | Geopolitics & Defense

Japan and ASEAN are strengthening their partnership to advance artificial intelligence development across Southeast Asia.

**At the digital ministers’ meeting in Hanoi on January 15–16, 2026, Japan and ASEAN issued their first joint statement on AI cooperation.**
Japan’s Internal Affairs and Communications Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi joined delegates from all 11 ASEAN member states in committing to promote AI that respects the region’s linguistic and cultural diversity and ensures technology reliability. During the meeting, Japan also reaffirmed its support for ASEAN cybersecurity initiatives.

**The joint statement lays out a multi-faceted cooperation framework encompassing AI governance, technical development, human resource cultivation, and applications that address social challenges.**
Under its “Digital Work Plan 2026,” Japan proposed priorities to establish AI governance standards, advance AI research and deployment, train local talent, and apply digital innovation to societal issues. As part of its broader bilateral ties, Japan also held separate digital cooperation discussions with Vietnam and Singapore.

**In a notable bilateral agreement with Cambodia, both countries committed to co-develop a Khmer-language large language model.**
Recognizing Cambodia’s nascent AI ecosystem and limited local-language data, Japan will support data preparation and provide computing resources to train and deploy the model, accelerating AI adoption and capacity building in Cambodia.

**ASEAN ministers raised concerns about overreliance on foreign AI platforms, particularly those developed in China.**
Many regional LLMs currently use Alibaba’s open models, which risk reflecting Chinese political biases. In response, ASEAN expressed interest in “sovereign AI” solutions aligned with national interests and values, and Japan positioned itself as a trusted partner to build AI systems rooted in regional languages and cultural contexts.

**Market forecasts underline the strategic value of this cooperation: the Southeast Asian AI market could reach $17.2 billion by 2033, and AI technologies may boost regional GDP by 10–18 percent by 2030.**
US and Chinese AI vendors face challenges serving ASEAN’s 11 linguistically diverse countries, creating an opening for Japan to deliver culturally and linguistically tailored AI products and services.

**Japan plans to leverage its “Hiroshima AI Process,” launched during its 2023 G7 presidency, to establish multilateral AI rules focused on reliability and safety.**
The joint statement further calls for exploring legal and regulatory frameworks to govern AI development. These initiatives build on discussions at last October’s Japan-ASEAN summit in Kuala Lumpur, where Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi advocated joint research in semiconductors and AI to strengthen regional ties amid intensifying US-China competition.

Monitored Intelligence for Japan - Jan. 19, 2026


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Ryuichiro Kitahama’s Straightforward Stock Forecast! – Steadily Targeting Buy-the-Dip Opportunities in National Policy Theme Stocks

Yahoo Finance | Local Language | News | Jan. 19, 2026 | UndeterminedInvestor Sentiment

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s recent dissolution of the House of Representatives has significant implications for Japan’s stock market, particularly for sectors aligned with her administration’s “17 priority fields” intended to drive national economic growth. Investors are advised to focus on these national policy theme stocks and to adopt a steady, long-term buy-the-dip strategy rather than chasing short-term rallies. These fields include AI, semiconductors, nuclear fusion, defense, aviation and space, disaster prevention, and national land resilience, with rare-earth-related stocks currently receiving heightened attention.

The article emphasizes materials and resource-related stocks as prime candidates for investment due to global shortages in non-ferrous metals such as copper and aluminum, alongside rare earths. Recommended targets include major general trading companies—Sumitomo Corporation, which is highlighted as a leader in non-ferrous metals, Marubeni, Itochu, Mitsui & Co., and Mitsubishi Corporation—as well as Sojitz, which specializes in rare-earth trading. Other notable companies producing non-ferrous ore or related mining machinery include Sumitomo Metal Mining, Furukawa Machinery & Metals, Komatsu, Matsuda Sangyo, ARE Holdings, and Okamoto Glass, the latter of which is active in deep-sea exploration technologies linked to rare-earth sourcing.

The current rally in Japanese stocks is supported by expectations surrounding the Takaichi administration, but sustainable growth depends on the ruling party’s success in the upcoming election and the effective execution of its growth-oriented policies. While political and international tensions, especially with China, inject uncertainty, the prime minister’s firm stance is expected to garner public support, potentially boosting market confidence in the targeted sectors. Investors are encouraged to remain cautious but focused on strategic investment in these national policy themes for long-term gain.

A South Korean court sentences Yoon to 5 years in prison on charges related to martial law decree

Asahi Shimbun - E | English | News | Jan. 19, 2026 | Political Scandal or Corruption

Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol was sentenced to five years in prison by a Seoul court for charges related to his December 2024 martial law decree. This ruling is the first verdict in a series of eight criminal trials stemming from Yoon's brief imposition of martial law, which led to his impeachment, arrest, and removal from office amid widespread protests. The court specifically convicted him of defying detention attempts, fabricating the martial law proclamation, and bypassing a legally required full Cabinet meeting.

The most serious accusation against Yoon is that his martial law enforcement constituted a rebellion, with an independent counsel seeking the death penalty. A decision on this charge is scheduled for February 19. Yoon has denied intentions to impose prolonged military rule, claiming his decree was meant to alert the public about parliamentary obstruction. However, investigators view his actions as efforts to extend his power illegally. The judge emphasized the need for a harsh sentence due to Yoon’s lack of remorse and impact on the legal system. Yoon’s defense team plans to appeal, criticizing the verdict as politically motivated and an oversimplification of presidential authority.

Experts anticipate that while a death sentence is unlikely due to South Korea’s moratorium on executions and lack of casualties during the martial law period, Yoon could face life imprisonment or lengthy sentences. Historically, South Korea has pardoned jailed former presidents for political reasons, suggesting a potential path for Yoon’s future. Despite facing multiple other trials involving charges such as inciting tensions with North Korea, influencing an investigation, and electoral bribery, Yoon reportedly maintains a defiant stance, possibly to preserve his political support with the hope of eventual pardon.

Yoon’s martial law declaration marked South Korea’s first such decree in over 40 years and triggered a significant political crisis without major violence but major ramifications for domestic politics, diplomacy, and financial markets. Following Yoon’s removal, his liberal opponent Lee Jae Myung won a snap election and appointed independent counsels to investigate Yoon and his associates for various alleged offenses.

Taiwan says Chinese drone violated airspace over remote island it controls

NHK | English | News | Jan. 19, 2026 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

Taiwan's defense ministry reported that a Chinese reconnaissance drone violated airspace over Pratas Island, a remote island in the South China Sea that Taiwan effectively controls. The drone entered the airspace at 5:44 a.m. on Saturday and flew at an altitude beyond the range of Taiwan's anti-aircraft weapons. After Taiwan issued a warning, the drone exited the airspace four minutes later.

The ministry condemned the incident as a highly provocative and irresponsible act that undermines regional peace and stability. Taiwan stated it will continue patrolling and monitoring the situation around the island. In response, China's People's Liberation Army's Southern Theater Command defended the drone flight as normal and legal training activity. China has been increasing military pressure on Taiwan through flights by military jets and government ship movements near the island, where Taiwan’s coast guard and military forces are stationed.

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