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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
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What to know about Japan political parties' pledges on zero sales tax on food, drinks
The Mainichi | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedTaxes
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced on January 19, 2026, that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party will propose eliminating the consumption tax on food and beverages for two years in the upcoming House of Representatives election campaign. This measure aims to ease the financial burden on middle- and low-income earners amid persistently high food inflation.
Takaichi plans to fund the tax cut by reallocating existing subsidies, special tax measures, and non-tax revenue rather than issuing deficit-financing bonds. She emphasized the need to consider impacts on financial markets, including interest rates, exchange rates, and local government finances. The timing of the tax cut was not discussed during the press conference despite prior speculation about a potential reduction around September.
The tax reduction is expected to cause an annual revenue loss of about 5 trillion yen ($31.6 billion), with roughly 2 trillion yen ($12.6 billion) impacting local governments. This has raised concerns about fiscal deterioration, reflected in rising government bond yields and potential yen depreciation, which could further increase inflation through higher import costs.
The opposition Centrist Reform Alliance advocates for a permanent zero consumption tax on food and beverages, making tax reduction a realistic prospect regardless of the election outcome. However, some economic officials warn that continued fiscal loosening by both major parties risks long-term fiscal collapse.
〔NY石油〕WTI上伸、60.62ドル(21日)
NY Oil WTI Climbs to $60.62 (21st)
Yahoo Finance | Local Language | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedEnergy Prices
On January 21, 2026, crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose due to expectations of tighter supply and demand. The March WTI contract settled at $60.62 per barrel, up $0.26 (0.43%) from the previous day, while the April contract increased by $0.30 to $60.39. Supply concerns emerged after production was temporarily halted at Kazakhstan’s Tengiz and Korolev oil fields due to power transmission system issues, supporting morning market buying.
Reuters reported that Venezuela’s oil exports under a major $2 billion contract with the United States amounted to approximately 7.8 million barrels, reflecting slow unwinding of recent production cuts and reinforcing supply tightness perceptions. U.S. President Trump, speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, highlighted strong U.S. economic growth over the past year and the country’s role as “the engine of the world economy,” which contributed to a rise in U.S. stocks and oil prices.
Markets exhibited some instability ahead of crude oil inventory data releases scheduled for January 22, leading to a cautious, wait-and-see mood among traders. Gasoline prices rose for the third consecutive day, with the February contract reaching 185.74 cents per gallon, the highest since early December 2025. Similarly, heating oil prices climbed for the third day, settling at 243.05 cents per gallon, the highest level since late November 2025.
Japan to Refuel S. Korean Air Force Jets at Naha Air Base
Nippon | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes
On January 28, Japan's Air Self-Defense Force (ASDF) will provide refueling support to 10 South Korean Air Force planes at the Naha Air Base in Okinawa. This marks the first time the ASDF has offered such support to South Korean military aircraft.
The refueling had originally been scheduled for November but was canceled after South Korea’s Black Eagles aerobatic team flew around Takeshima islets, a territory disputed between the two countries. The Black Eagles need the refueling mainly due to the flight range required for their participation in an international defense industry exhibition in Saudi Arabia in early February.
Additionally, on the same day, the ASDF's Blue Impulse aerobatic team will engage in an exchange of opinions on exhibition flights with South Korean counterparts.
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