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Intelligence for Better Decision Making
| Domain | Causal Chain | Possible Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Macroeconomics & Growth | (Semiconductor export boom ↑ → Terms-of-trade index ↑ → Current-account balance (% GDP) ↑ → Potential GDP growth revision ↑ → Real GDP growth ↑) | The enhanced terms of trade and external surpluses will underpin upward revisions to potential output and drive stronger real GDP growth. |
| Macroeconomics & Growth | (Memory chip price surge ↑ → Import-price pass-through ↑ → Headline CPI/Core CPI ↑ → Inflation volatility ↑ → Inflation-targeting credibility ↓) | Rising import-price pass-through and inflation volatility may erode confidence in the central bank’s ability to keep inflation near its 2 percent target. |
| Competitiveness | (Semiconductor export boom ↑ → Trade-openness & preferential access ↑ → Real export market-share change ↑ → High-value-added export share ↑ → Total-factor productivity level vs frontier ↑) | Greater preferential access and high-value trade gains will accelerate productivity convergence toward the global frontier. |
| Macroeconomics & Growth | (DRAM price surge–driven profits ↑ → Capital-formation rate ↑ → Business fixed-investment growth deviation ↑ → Private fixed-investment growth ↑ → Potential GDP growth revision ↑) | Surging profits will finance elevated business investment, prompting analysts to hike potential GDP growth estimates. |
| Macroeconomics & Growth | (Memory chip price surge ↑ → Global-value-chain reconfiguration velocity ↑ → FDI net inflow (% GDP) ↑ → Foreign-owned green-field project count ↑) | Accelerated value-chain shifts will draw substantial FDI and increase foreign-owned greenfield semiconductor projects. |
| Firms | (South Korean PPI inflation ↑ → Supply-chain restructuring cadence ↑ → Supplier-delivery-times index ↓ → End-to-end supply-chain lead-time deviation ↓ → Capacity-utilisation in manufacturing ↑) | Faster supply-chain restructuring and reduced lead-time variability will boost manufacturing capacity utilization. |
| Technology & Innovation | (Strategic-sector export risk ↑ → Dual-use export-control restrictiveness ↑ → Semiconductor fab utilisation rate ↓ → AI inference cost index shift ↑ → AI adoption GDP uplift ↓) | Tighter export controls will reduce fab utilization, raise AI inference costs, and dampen AI-driven GDP gains. |
Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
SK Innovation sells TerraPower stake to Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power for three-way alliance
Yonhap | English | News | Jan. 22, 2026 | UndeterminedMergers & Acquisitions
SK Innovation has sold part of its stake in TerraPower, a U.S.-based developer of next-generation small modular reactors (SMRs), to Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP). This transaction enhances a three-way partnership aimed at expanding into the global SMR market. KHNP becomes the first Korean public energy company to invest directly in a leading global SMR developer. Despite the partial stake transfer, SK Innovation remains the second-largest shareholder in TerraPower, which was co-founded by Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates in 2008.
TerraPower is currently building the world’s first commercial SMR plant in Wyoming, targeting completion by 2030, using its Natrium reactor technology that integrates advanced energy storage. This technology is seen as a significant solution to power shortages associated with the rapid growth of the artificial intelligence industry. The three companies plan to collaborate on supporting the Wyoming project, pursuing SMR opportunities overseas, localizing key materials and components, and expanding SMR supply chains globally.
The alliance, initiated in April 2023 through a cooperation agreement, aims to build SMRs in the U.S. and other countries, introduce SMRs in South Korea, and leverage SMR modular designs to reduce construction time and costs while enabling phased expansion to meet rising electricity demand.
Foreigners caught in crossfire as bill aims to unmask user nationalities on online platforms
Joongang Ilbo | English | News | Jan. 22, 2026 | Privacy
A bill proposed by the conservative People Power Party (PPP) in South Korea seeks to mandate online platforms to disclose the nationalities and sign-in locations of users posting comments, aiming to curb perceived foreign influence in the upcoming June 3 local elections. This proposal has sparked debate with the liberal Democratic Party (DP) opposing it, accusing the PPP of targeting Chinese foreign residents, who make up the largest portion of permanent foreign residents in Korea. Public opinion appears divided but slightly favors disclosure, with 64 percent supporting the measure according to a recent poll.
The bill would require websites and social media platforms to reveal users’ countries of origin and whether posts were made using VPNs. While the PPP argues that this is necessary to protect public sovereignty from foreign interference, critics warn that the technology cannot reliably verify nationality without real-name authentication, which was ruled unconstitutional in 2012, and that location data can be easily circumvented or inaccurately detected. Experts also highlight concerns about privacy infringements and the potential suppression of free expression.
The context for the bill includes the increasing number of foreign residents eligible to vote in local elections, currently estimated at 154,000, with eligibility tied to permanent residency status. However, foreign voter turnout has historically been low, and experts suggest their influence on election outcomes is minimal. Scholars caution that the legislation could alienate foreign voters, particularly Chinese nationals, by fostering xenophobic sentiments and deterring their participation in the democratic process. The discussion reflects broader political tensions and questions regarding the balance between election security and individual rights in South Korea.
李 대통령 “성장 패러다임 대전환”…광역통합·벤처 중심에 방점
President Lee calls for a paradigm shift in growth focusing on metropolitan integration and ventures
ET News | Local Language | News | Jan. 22, 2026 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth
President Lee Jae-myung outlined a new national growth strategy focused on metropolitan regional integration and support for startups and venture companies at a New Year press conference on January 21, 2026. He emphasized a paradigm shift toward "local-led growth" through the integration of metropolitan areas such as Daejeon-Chungnam and Gwangju-Jeonnam, aiming to break the capital-centric development model. This includes reorganizing national land management into a "five hubs and three special zones" system with increased support to regions farther from the capital.
Lee also introduced a "growth for all" approach to address K-shaped economic growth, prioritizing the creation of a startup and venture boom to stimulate innovation and employment opportunities for young entrepreneurs. He linked this initiative to past successes under the Kim Dae-jung administration and framed it as both a job and youth policy, with a focus on balancing local and tech startup development.
Additional policy measures include enhancing industrial safety by increasing labor inspectors by 3,500 and introducing workplace guardians, along with revising relevant laws as needed. The cultural sector will receive a budget boost to 9.6 trillion won, positioning it as a core growth area. In diplomacy, Lee emphasized peace-driven stability and committed to efforts aimed at advancing North Korea–U.S. talks, resuming inter-Korean dialogue, and restoring the September 19 military agreement.
On governance, President Lee stressed a people-centered approach free from ideology and factionalism, committing to eliminate cheating, privilege, and unfairness that harm citizens' lives.
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