South Korea

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

TSMC and Samsung Accelerate 2 nm Chip Production Amid Intensifying AI Market Demand
Dec. 2, 2025 | Technology & Innovation

Leading semiconductor manufacturers are boosting production capacity and deploying advanced chip technologies to meet growing AI and high-performance computing demands.

**TSMC is ramping up its 2-nanometer fabrication capacity from seven to ten fabs in the Southern Taiwan Science Park, fueled by a roughly NT$900 billion investment.**
Surging demand for AI and high-performance computing chips—especially GPUs and CPUs for AI servers—drives the company to target requirements of the early 2030s. About 70 percent of TSMC’s US$40–42 billion capital expenditure in 2025 will go to advanced 2 nm and 3 nm processes. Domestic political pressures reinforce TSMC’s decision to keep its most advanced production facilities in Taiwan.

**Despite this ramp-up, supply constraints and higher pricing challenge TSMC’s 2 nm business.**
Its 2 nm chips cost at least 50 percent more than 3 nm devices, prompting some fabless companies to explore alternative suppliers. Samsung stands to gain customers seeking leading-edge production that offers more favorable pricing or availability.

**Samsung Electronics reports that its 2 nm process yields have climbed to 55–60 percent, approaching the level needed for viable mass production.**
Tesla, under a long-term contract for next-generation AI5 and AI6 chips, and Samsung’s own Exynos 2600 mobile application processor serve as key validation platforms to further boost yields. Samsung plans to start full-scale 2 nm manufacturing at its new Taylor, Texas, facility and integrate the technology into its flagship Galaxy S26 smartphone in 2026.

**Alongside its 2 nm efforts, Samsung has merged its dedicated high-bandwidth memory (HBM) development task force into the broader DRAM Development Office, consolidating process, design, and advanced packaging functions.**
This reorganization supports a unified memory strategy focused on HBM4 and HBM4E production and aligns with the upcoming Pyeongtaek P5 “AI mega fab.” That facility will co-locate HBM4/5 production alongside 3 nm and 2 nm foundry operations and advanced packaging, with the HBM design team centrally connecting foundry and packaging activities.

**Over the next two to three years, TSMC and Samsung will intensify their competition around production capacity, process yields, design support, pricing, and infrastructure development.**
The result of this contest will shape availability and costs of leading-edge semiconductor technologies, particularly in AI and high-bandwidth memory applications.
OpenAI’s High-Stakes Expansion Amid Surging AI Integration and Intensifying Competition
Dec. 2, 2025 | Competitiveness

The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence is transforming industries from search to education and testing the resilience of major developers.

**Since marking its third anniversary, ChatGPT has deepened AI integration across search, translation, coding, customer service and education.**
AI has emerged as a transformative platform that reshapes industrial structures and work dynamics. OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, confronts rising operational costs, fierce global competition and ongoing controversies over user safety and ethics.

**OpenAI has funded its rapid growth with massive investments in large-scale data centers and aggressive expansion strategies, yet it continues to run a substantial deficit.**
HSBC predicts annual revenue will climb from $12.5 billion in 2025 to $213.6 billion by 2030, while operating losses may widen to $76.5 billion. Key cost drivers include a revenue-sharing agreement with Microsoft, high costs of goods sold, extensive research and development expenditures and significant administrative expenses. Contracts with Microsoft and Amazon for cloud computing capacity total $250 billion and $38 billion, respectively, and could reach a cumulative $1.8 trillion. As infrastructure builds accelerate, annual data center rental costs could approach $620 billion.

**To support projected demand, OpenAI plans to invest $18 billion in the Stargate Project, partnering with SoftBank and Oracle to build five new AI data centers and secure 250 GW of capacity by 2033.**
Achieving financial sustainability depends on growing the user base to roughly 3 billion by 2030 to offset soaring infrastructure and operational expenses. Nvidia GPU–based servers require substantial power and physical space, further intensifying cost pressures.

**Competition in the AI sector is intensifying as rivals develop alternative hardware and models.**
Google is preparing Gemini 3, which will run on its proprietary Tensor Processing Units and aim to outperform GPU-based systems in speed, energy efficiency and multimodal tasks. Meta is reportedly evaluating Google’s TPUs over Nvidia GPUs. Industry experts expect future competition to hinge more on data center architecture, power efficiency and cost-effective computation than on model accuracy alone, making OpenAI’s reliance on Nvidia GPUs a potential vulnerability.

**OpenAI also faces controversies around user safety and content moderation.**
Lawsuits claim ChatGPT content contributed to harmful outcomes, including a teenage suicide; OpenAI rejects legal responsibility but acknowledges inherent risks in human-AI interactions. After its GPT-4–powered Kuma AI teddy bear provided inappropriate information to minors, OpenAI suspended the product. Meanwhile, the company plans to introduce adult content features with age and identity verification, a strategy analysts link to efforts to diversify revenue through premium subscription tiers.

Monitored Intelligence for South Korea - Dec. 3, 2025


News
Media
297

Government
Releases
24

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Releases
29

Embassy
Releases
0
Foreign
Service
Advisories
0
Academic/
Think
Tank
4


Podcasts
0


Videos
0

Social
Media
0

Business
Releases
3

Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.

Risk Categories Reported on Today

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8
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8
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20
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2
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16
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1
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Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.

We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.

Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.

Operations Categories Reported on Today

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Items Reported On
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11
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3
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2
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7
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9
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23
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7
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1
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1
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1
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8
Trade Issues and Numbers
4
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1
Financial System Problems
1
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1

Project launched to develop short-range air-to-air missiles for homegrown fighter jets

Yonhap | English | News | Dec. 3, 2025 | UndeterminedTech Development/Adoption

South Korea has initiated a 435.9 billion-won (US$296 million) project to develop short-range air-to-air guided missiles for its domestically produced KF-21 fighter jets. The Defense Acquisition Program Administration (DAPA) aims to complete the development of these missiles by 2032 to diversify the weapons systems available for its fighter jets and boost arms exports.

Key local defense companies such as LIG Nex1 Co. and Hanwha Aerospace Co. will participate in the development, which will be led by the Agency for Defense Development. This missile development is expected to significantly advance South Korea's airborne weapons capabilities and support the growth of its aviation defense industry.

주파수 재할당이 쏘아올린 ‘5G SA’ 의무화...대가산정 쟁점화

Mandatory Implementation of 5G SA Triggered by Frequency Reallocation... Disputes Over Compensation Calculation

ZD Net Korea | Local Language | News | Dec. 3, 2025 | Regulation

The government has mandated the transition to 5G Stand Alone (SA) services as a condition for reallocating mobile communication frequencies currently used for LTE and 3G, whose usage periods expire next year. This move requires telecom operators to shift from 5G Non-Stand Alone (NSA) to 5G SA, with KT being the only domestic carrier partially providing 5G SA services. The transition is seen as essential to fully realize 5G’s low latency and high reliability advantages necessary for emerging technologies such as remote medical care, connected cars, AI, and preparation for 6G.

The government plans to incentivize the 5G SA transition by offering a 15% reduction in reallocation fees based on investment conditions, including the construction of at least 20,000 indoor 5G base stations across operators. The minimum aggregated fee for frequency reallocation is estimated at 2.9 trillion won, subject to adjustments based on investment levels and the duration of frequency use. However, carriers remain concerned over the significant investments required for upgrading 5G core networks amidst profitability pressures and past discounted telecom fees.

Disputes have emerged over the method of calculating reallocation fees, which the government bases on past auction prices from several years ago. Telecom operators argue that fees should reflect current and projected revenue potentials rather than historical auction bids, citing inconsistencies and a mismatch with market realities. Academics support this view, highlighting the need for valuation models that incorporate technological evolution and demand forecasts rather than relying on outdated market prices. The government, however, insists on maintaining the current fee calculation approach and presents refusal to accept frequency reallocations as an alternative.

A notable contention between SK Telecom and LG Uplus centers on the uneven pricing of 2.6 GHz band frequencies, where SK Telecom pays significantly higher reallocation fees despite the same frequency band being allocated at a discounted rate to LG Uplus. SK Telecom calls for a consistent application of a 27.5% discount given previously, while LG Uplus cites different initial conditions and frequency utility to justify the disparity. The government has downplayed the dispute as part of broader policy discussions, with the final reallocation plan expected shortly amid ongoing feedback from carriers, including requests for broader investment flexibility beyond indoor base stations and additional incentives for early 5G SA adopters.

한국은행·국민연금, 650억弗 외환스왑 연장

Bank of Korea and National Pension Service extend $65 billion foreign exchange swap

Maekyung | Local Language | News | Dec. 3, 2025 | UndeterminedFinancial System Problems

The Bank of Korea and the National Pension Service have agreed to extend their $65 billion foreign exchange swap to support the won amid its recent decline. Originally starting at $10 billion in September 2022 and increased to $65 billion by December last year, this arrangement allows the National Pension Service to exchange won for dollars from the Bank of Korea’s reserves without direct foreign exchange market intervention. While the pension fund has not actively utilized the swap, the extension itself is expected to help stabilize the currency. Increased use of this facility could prevent further depreciation of the won.

In addition to the swap extension, the Ministry of Economy and Finance issued a warning to export companies that policy fund support may be suspended if they do not sell dollars into the market. Dollar deposits held by companies across five major banks surged from $44.3 billion in October to $53.7 billion in November, contributing to the won’s weakness despite a current account surplus of $82.7 billion through September. The government is also set to regularly inspect export companies’ currency exchange and overseas investment activities, potentially linking these to corporate support policies.

The Financial Supervisory Service has opened an investigation into securities firms used by Seohak-gaemi investors. The focus is on whether these firms have adequately informed and protected investors regarding overseas investments. The inquiry will also examine if securities and asset management companies prioritized selling “currency-open” products, which expose investors directly to exchange rate fluctuations, over “currency-hedged” products, potentially exacerbating exchange rate risks and investor anxiety.

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